Philadelphia @ New York picks
Citi Field
PHI vs NYM Picks
MLB Picks
Hits, Runs, and RBIs


Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Hits, Runs, and RBIs


Ed Scimia
Betting Analyst
Juan Soto has been at the center of that attack. The offseason acquisition hasn’t been quite as good as Mets fans may have hoped, but his .882 OPS still plays at the heart of any lineup, and he has been getting on base at a .390 clip. He’s also come in Over his total of 1.5 combined hits, runs, and RBIs in each of his last five games.
Total RBIs

Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Juan Soto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker today.. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.
Total RBIs

Nick Castellanos o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field.. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.. Nick Castellanos's launch angle recently (19.9° in the last two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 15.6° seasonal angle.
Total RBIs

Max Kepler o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage over Nolan McLean in today's game... and even more favorably, McLean has a large platoon split.. Max Kepler hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.. Max Kepler has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.2% rate last year to 11.7% this year.
Total RBIs

Francisco Lindor o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.. Francisco Lindor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (+110)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Pete Alonso projects as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's game.. Pete Alonso has made big improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 13.2% rate last season to 18.7% this season.
Total Bases

Juan Soto o0.5 Total Bases (-170)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Juan Soto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker today.. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+100)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 4th-best home run hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field.. Kyle Schwarber will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nolan McLean today... and moreover, McLean has a large platoon split.. Out of every team playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Pete Alonso o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-130)
Projection 2.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Pete Alonso projects as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Bryson Stott o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-185)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Bryson Stott will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nolan McLean in today's matchup... and even better, McLean has a large platoon split.. Bryson Stott has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.. Bryson Stott has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 94.7-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 89.3-mph.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Harrison Bader o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Harrison Bader pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.9% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.. Harrison Bader has recorded a .347 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 77th percentile.. Harrison Bader has put up a .326 BABIP this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile.