Atlanta @ Miami props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nacho Alvarez Jr. in the 76th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Nacho Alvarez Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today.

Nick Allen has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Liam Hicks will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Liam Hicks's 60.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.6%. Posting a 1.45 K/BB rate this year, Liam Hicks has demonstrated strong plate discipline, placing in the 90th percentile.

Eric Wagaman is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Eric Wagaman will have the handedness advantage against Joey Wentz today. Eric Wagaman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Eric Wagaman will hold that advantage in today's game. Eric Wagaman has made notable strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 7.1% seasonal rate to 29.4% over the last 14 days.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jurickson Profar ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Jurickson Profar has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 8.2% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last week's worth of games. Over the last 7 days, Jurickson Profar's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 34.7%. With a .352 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jurickson Profar is positioned in the 89th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Utilizing Statcast data, Marcell Ozuna is in the 86th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .351. Marcell Ozuna has displayed good plate discipline this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile with a 1.37 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. In the league, LoanDepot Park's centerfield fences are the 6th-shallowest. Javier Sanoja will hold the platoon advantage against Joey Wentz in today's game. Javier Sanoja will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Javier Sanoja has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100.3-mph average over the last week to his seasonal average of 86.2-mph.

Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Gusto throws from, Jake Fraley will have an edge in today's matchup. Jake Fraley is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP. There has been a significant improvement in Jake Fraley's launch angle from last year's 10.9° to 18.9° this season. By putting up a 1.75 K/BB rate this year, Jake Fraley has shown favorable plate discipline, checking in at the 85th percentile. By putting up a .312 BABIP since the start of last season, Jake Fraley finds himself in the 77th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks as the 5th-best hitter in the game. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Ronald Acuna Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Ronald Acuna Jr. has made big improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 9.5% rate last year to 16.2% this year. Ronald Acuna Jr. has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.9-mph to 97.6-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Despite posting a .278 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ozzie Albies has suffered from bad luck given the .034 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .312.

Agustin Ramirez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. In the league, LoanDepot Park's centerfield fences are the 6th-shallowest. Agustin Ramirez will have the handedness advantage over Joey Wentz in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Agustin Ramirez will hold that advantage today. Agustin Ramirez has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .230 BA is a fair amount lower than his .270 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Otto Lopez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Joey Wentz throws from, Otto Lopez will have an edge in today's matchup. Otto Lopez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Otto Lopez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Xavier Edwards's batting average talent is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Xavier Edwards is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Xavier Edwards will hold that advantage in today's matchup. With a 1.75 K/BB rate this year, Xavier Edwards has displayed impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 78th percentile. Grading out in the 90th percentile, Xavier Edwards sports a .286 batting average this year.

Drake Baldwin's batting average ability is projected to be in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Drake Baldwin is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Drake Baldwin will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Gusto in today's matchup. Drake Baldwin has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP. Based on Statcast data, Drake Baldwin ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .284.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Gusto throws from, Michael Harris II will have an edge in today's game. Michael Harris II is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP. Michael Harris II has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 8.3% seasonal rate to 13.3% over the past 7 days. Michael Harris II has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90-mph to 93-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Jakob Marsee has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (52% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jakob Marsee will hold that advantage today. Over the past 7 days, Jakob Marsee's 76.9% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 70.7%. Jakob Marsee has been hot in recent games, compiling a a 14.3% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Dane Myers will hold the platoon advantage against Joey Wentz in today's matchup. Dane Myers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Dane Myers will hold that advantage in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Dane Myers's true offensive skill to be a .301, indicating that he has been unlucky this year given the .023 deviation between that mark and his actual .278 wOBA.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Matt Olson ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Matt Olson will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Gusto today. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Olson can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Matt Olson has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.9-mph average to last year's 94-mph average.

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Derek Hill is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In the league, LoanDepot Park's centerfield fences are the 6th-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Joey Wentz throws from, Derek Hill will have an edge today. Derek Hill will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. In comparison to his 88.3-mph average last year, Derek Hill's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 91.9 mph.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Vidal Brujan will get to bat from his good side against Ryan Gusto today. Vidal Brujan's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 88.5-mph now compared to just 85.1-mph then. Compared to last season, Vidal Brujan has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 11.6% to 21.3% this season.

Heriberto Hernandez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Batting from the opposite that Joey Wentz throws from, Heriberto Hernandez will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Heriberto Hernandez will hold that advantage in today's game. Heriberto Hernandez has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 10.3% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the past 7 days. Grading out in the 77th percentile, Heriberto Hernandez sports a .333 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.