Philadelphia @ New York picks

The underlying numbers for the Mets dip against left-handed pitchers, and Phillies southpaw Cristopher Sanchez is the real deal. On the flip side, the Philly lineup has been solid against right-handed pitchers, and I’m anticipating statistical correction catching up to New York starter Kodai Senga. 

Philadelphia Phillies star Kyle Schwarber is in a 0-for-9 slump since homering and driving in five in the series finale against the Seattle Mariners on August 20. 

Considering he’s sporting an elite .333 ISO in August and a .322 mark against righties for the season, I like his chances of going yard tonight. 

With a seven-game hit streak that includes a pair of home runs, Phillies first baseman Bryce Harper is dialed in at the dish.

He’s sporting a .264 August ISO and .239 mark against righties for the season, too. 

Philadelphia Phillies star Kyle Schwarber is in a 0-for-9 slump since homering and driving in five in the series finale against the Seattle Mariners on August 20. 

Considering he’s sporting an elite .333 ISO in August and a .322 mark against righties for the season, I like his chances of going yard tonight. 

Kodai Senga has a 5.21 ERA this month, allowing Over 2.5 earned runs in two of his last four appearances. Last time out, Senga surrendered four earned runs to the Washington Nationals. Although he hasn’t faced the Phillies since 2023, they’re swinging it well at the moment, winning six of their last seven. 

Scott Barry grades out as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is expected to be calling pitches in this game.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The New York Mets have 6 batters in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's game.. Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Cristopher Sanchez in today's game.. Considering the 0.38 discrepancy between Cristopher Sanchez's 9.69 K/9 and his 9.31 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year when it comes to strikeouts and should see negative regression in future games.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best batter in MLB.. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Juan Soto will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Pete Alonso projects as the 16th-best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.. The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Citi Field.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Pete Alonso will have the upper hand today.

Bryce Harper projects as the 12th-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the opposite that Kodai Senga throws from, Bryce Harper will have an edge in today's game.. Bryce Harper has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

This game is predicted to have the 13th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the opposite that Kodai Senga throws from, Max Kepler will have an advantage in today's game.. Max Kepler hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.. Max Kepler has made significant strides with his Barrel%, upping his 6.2% rate last season to 11.5% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Cristopher Sanchez.. Francisco Lindor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

J.T. Realmuto's BABIP skill is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. J.T. Realmuto has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (52% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. J.T. Realmuto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the majors's 3rd-best home run batter.. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Citi Field.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage over Kodai Senga today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 88th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Mark Vientos is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. This game is predicted to have the 9th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Mark Vientos will have an advantage today.. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best batter in MLB.. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. This game is predicted to have the 13th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Juan Soto will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.