Tampa Bay @ Cleveland picks

Rays southpaw Ian Seymour will make his first career start after 12 appearances out of the bullpen. He got beat up by the Yankees in mop-up duty in his last outing, but was stellar as a starter in Durham this season, going 9-3 with a 2.62 ERA and 104 strikeouts in 86 innings. Given the Guardians’ recent struggles and record vs. LHP (15-22), the Rays are the play as underdogs tonight in Cleveland.

Progressive Field ranks as the #3 stadium in the game for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Bo Naylor will hold that advantage in today's game.. Bo Naylor has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .280 mark is quite a bit lower than his .317 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Carlos Santana is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.. The #3 ballpark in baseball for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Carlos Santana will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Ian Seymour in today's matchup.. Carlos Santana pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

As it relates to his batting average skill, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 7th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The #3 ballpark in baseball for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

When estimating his home run skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Progressive Field ranks as the #3 stadium in the game for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Brandon Lowe will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Kyle Manzardo is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Progressive Field ranks as the #3 stadium in the game for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Kyle Manzardo will hold that advantage in today's game.. Kyle Manzardo has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.3-mph average to last season's 92-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Robert Seymour in the 83rd percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Progressive Field ranks as the #3 stadium in the game for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 6th-shallowest right field dimensions in the league are found in Progressive Field.. Robert Seymour will hold the platoon advantage against Tanner Bibee today.. Notching a 94.8-mph average exit velocity in the last two weeks, Robert Seymour has been in great form of late.

Progressive Field ranks as the #3 stadium in the game for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Bo Naylor will hold that advantage in today's game.. Bo Naylor has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .280 mark is quite a bit lower than his .317 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 5th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. When starting against a southpaw since the start of last season, Kyle Manzardo has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 10% of the time.. The league's 4th-highest fences can be found at Progressive Field.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects the 5th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 10-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for mound aces.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 2nd-best stadium in the game for walks.. In MLB, Progressive Field's LF fences are the 2nd-shallowest.. Tanner Bibee's fastball spin rate has fallen 115 rpm this year (2246 rpm) below where it was last year (2361 rpm).

Collin Kayfus's BABIP ability is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Progressive Field ranks as the #3 stadium in the game for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Collin Kayfus has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Collin Kayfus will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.