Boston @ New York Picks & Props

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has made big strides with his Barrel%, upping his 10% rate last year to 18.3% this season.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Trent Grisham will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Trent Grisham has recorded a .346 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 81st percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Grading out in the 83rd percentile, Trent Grisham sits with a .353 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year. Posting a 1.62 K/BB rate this year, Trent Grisham has shown impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 84th percentile.

Austin Wells will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Austin Wells's launch angle this year (21.1°) is considerably better than his 16.9° figure last season. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.232) suggests that Austin Wells has had some very poor luck this year with his .211 actual batting average.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Ryan McMahon will hold that advantage in today's game. Last year, Ryan McMahon had an average launch angle of 10.7° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 14°. Ryan McMahon's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, rising from 17.9% on the season to 44.4% in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Given Will Warren's large platoon split, Jarren Duran will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

David Hamilton will hold the platoon advantage over Will Warren in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Warren has a large platoon split. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so David Hamilton stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. David Hamilton has been unlucky this year, putting up a .229 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .284 — a .055 deviation. Ranking in the 94th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.27 ft/sec this year, David Hamilton is remarkably quick.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. Paul Goldschmidt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's game. Paul Goldschmidt has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Paul Goldschmidt will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Anthony Volpe will have the handedness advantage over Garrett Crochet today. Anthony Volpe will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. In the past week's worth of games, Anthony Volpe's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.9-mph over the course of the season to 99.1-mph recently. Over the past 14 days, Anthony Volpe's 29.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.5%. Anthony Volpe has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .209 mark is considerably lower than his .224 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Nathaniel Lowe will have the handedness advantage over Will Warren today... and even better, Warren has a large platoon split. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nathaniel Lowe has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. As it relates to his batting average, Nathaniel Lowe has had bad variance on his side this year. His .218 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .240.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Roman Anthony is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Considering Will Warren's large platoon split, Roman Anthony will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Roman Anthony can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Alex Bregman is an extreme flyball batter and faces the weak outfield defense of New York (#2-worst on the slate). Grading out in the 99th percentile, Alex Bregman sits with a .405 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Giancarlo Stanton will hold the platoon advantage over Garrett Crochet in today's matchup. Giancarlo Stanton will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Giancarlo Stanton has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 18.7% seasonal rate to 40% in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Trevor Story is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Trevor Story has notched a .333 BABIP this year, grading out in the 87th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Amed Rosario is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Amed Rosario will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Amed Rosario will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Amed Rosario has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.1-mph average to last season's 86.9-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Considering Will Warren's large platoon split, Masataka Yoshida will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Masataka Yoshida is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees only has 1 same-handed RP. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Masataka Yoshida has compiled a .268 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jose Caballero will hold the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's game. Jose Caballero will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jose Caballero has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 5.8% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the past 7 days. Jose Caballero has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 86-mph average to last year's 83.5-mph figure. Jose Caballero's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 43.9% to 50.3%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in the game. Aaron Judge is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Aaron Judge will have an edge in today's game. Aaron Judge will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Over the past 7 days, Aaron Judge's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 25.6% up to 35.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Cody Bellinger pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Cody Bellinger will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Cody Bellinger has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 91.2-mph in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.329) provides evidence that Ceddanne Rafaela has suffered from bad luck this year with his .307 actual wOBA.

Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Carlos Narvaez's launch angle of late (31.3° over the past 7 days) is considerably higher than his 13.6° seasonal mark.

Ben Rice has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Jhostynxon Garcia has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 5 games.