Colorado @ Pittsburgh picks
PNC Park
COL vs PIT Picks
MLB Picks
Hits, Runs, and RBIs


Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Total RBIs

Brenton Doyle o0.5 Total RBIs (+235)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. In the last 14 days, Brenton Doyle's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.4-mph over the course of the season to 96-mph in recent games.. In the past two weeks, Brenton Doyle has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 18.1° compared to his seasonal mark of 12.2°.. Brenton Doyle has been hot recently, notching a a 13.2% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) in the past 14 days.
Total RBIs

Ezequiel Tovar o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Ezequiel Tovar's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (26.3° in the past two weeks) is significantly higher than his 17° seasonal mark.. Ezequiel Tovar's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 43% to 52.9%.
Total RBIs

Jordan Beck o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Jordan Beck is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Jordan Beck's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 16.6% on the season to 25% over the past two weeks.. By putting up a .331 BABIP this year, Jordan Beck grades out in the 86th percentile.
Total RBIs

Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to better offense.. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Compared to last year, Hunter Goodman has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 33.6% to 39.6% this season.
Total RBIs

Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Bryan Reynolds's BABIP skill is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Bryan Reynolds will hold that advantage today.. Sporting a .314 BABIP this year, Bryan Reynolds is ranked in the 75th percentile.
Total Bases

Liover Peguero u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.7 (Under)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Liover Peguero ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Liover Peguero is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.. The #1 stadium in MLB for suppressing home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. Among all major league parks, the 6th-tallest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Liover Peguero pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 82nd percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Ryan Ritter o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-170)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Ritter in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Ranking in the 92nd percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.11 ft/sec this year, Ryan Ritter is notably quick.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Orlando Arcia o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-180)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to better offense.. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases

Ezequiel Tovar u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.9 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The #1 stadium in MLB for suppressing home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. Among all major league parks, the 6th-tallest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. PNC Park has the 7th-most fair ground in the league — generally bad for home runs.. Batting from the same side that Michael Burrows throws from, Ezequiel Tovar faces a tough challenge today.. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ezequiel Tovar today.
Total Bases

Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to better offense.. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Compared to last year, Hunter Goodman has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 33.6% to 39.6% this season.