Cleveland @ Texas picks
Globe Life Field
CLE vs TEX Picks
MLB Picks
Earned Runs Allowed


Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Total Bases

Joc Pederson u1.5 Total Bases (-175)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Globe Life Field profiles as the #30 field in baseball for overall lefty offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 7th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game -9° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching.. Joc Pederson has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 8.2% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past two weeks' worth of games.. Joc Pederson's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, decreasing from 43.7% to 34.1%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Jonah Heim o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-170)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Among all parks, Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Jonah Heim will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.2°, Jonah Heim has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 22.8° angle over the past week.. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 11.1% to 15.6%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Angel Martinez o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-150)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Among all parks, Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Among every team on the slate today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers.. Angel Martinez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.9-mph to 91.9-mph in the last week's worth of games.. Angel Martinez's launch angle this year (18.9°) is considerably higher than his 14.8° angle last year.. Angel Martinez's launch angle lately (24.4° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is a considerable increase over his 18.9° seasonal figure.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
CK
CJ Kayfus o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-165)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Collin Kayfus in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Among all parks, Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Collin Kayfus will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nathan Eovaldi in today's matchup.. Among every team on the slate today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers.. In the past two weeks, Collin Kayfus's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.9% up to 13.6%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Brayan Rocchio o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-140)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Among all parks, Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Among every team on the slate today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers.. Brayan Rocchio has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 3.3% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last week.. Brayan Rocchio has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 87.6-mph average to last year's 84.5-mph average.. Brayan Rocchio's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 37.7% to 47.3%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Gabriel Arias o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Among all parks, Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Among every team on the slate today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers.. Over the past two weeks, Gabriel Arias's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.5-mph over the course of the season to 103.9-mph recently.. Compared to his seasonal average of 6.7°, Gabriel Arias has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 30.3° figure in the past week.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Rowdy Tellez o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-170)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Among all parks, Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Slade Cecconi throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have an advantage in today's game.. Rowdy Tellez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Rowdy Tellez has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .227 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .247 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Utilizing Statcast data, Rowdy Tellez ranks in the 91st percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 30.200.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Bo Naylor o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Among all parks, Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Bo Naylor will have an edge in today's game.. Among every team on the slate today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers.. Bo Naylor's launch angle this year (22.7°) is significantly better than his 19.5° angle last season.. Bo Naylor's launch angle lately (32° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 22.7° seasonal mark.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Alejandro Osuna o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Among all parks, Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Alejandro Osuna will hold the platoon advantage against Slade Cecconi in today's matchup.. Alejandro Osuna will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Alejandro Osuna has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .232 mark is a good deal lower than his .333 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Alejandro Osuna is quite quick, checking in at the 83rd percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.62 ft/sec this year.
Total Bases

Wyatt Langford o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all parks, Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Wyatt Langford will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Wyatt Langford has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 96.2-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 91.2-mph figure.