Toronto @ Miami picks

The Blue Jays are 1st in the league in batting average with a 113 WRC+, which ranks 3rd in all of baseball. They are also averaging 4.9 runs per game this season, which is the fifth most– the Marlins rank 17th in that metric, while struggling to keep runs off the board themselves. 

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 6th-best hitter in baseball when estimating his batting average talent.. Bo Bichette is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Posting a .299 batting average this year, Bo Bichette is positioned in the 95th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Otto Lopez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.. Otto Lopez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. In the majors, LoanDepot Park's centerfield fences are the 5th-shallowest.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Derek Hill will hold that advantage in today's game.. Checking in at the 76th percentile for power, Derek Hill has averaged 20.9 dingers per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.

The #6 park in MLB for suppressing home runs to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.. LoanDepot Park has the 4th-deepest RF fences in the majors.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense.. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching.. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense grades out as the 4th-best among all the teams on the slate today.

Batting from the opposite that Shane Bieber throws from, Troy Johnston will have the upper hand today.. Troy Johnston hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Troy Johnston will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.