New York @ Atlanta picks
Truist Park
NYM vs ATL Picks
MLB Picks
Total Bases


Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Strikeouts Thrown
NM
Nolan McLean u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+100)
Projection 3.7 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Nolan McLean is projected to throw 82 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 8th-least of all pitchers today.. Ben May grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone in this game.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to better offense.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Nolan McLean will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.
Total RBIs

Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Matt Olson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Matt Olson is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 6th-best park in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to better offense.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to drop to the 3rd-lowest level on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).
Total RBIs

Brett Baty o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his home run talent, Brett Baty ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 6th-best park in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to better offense.. This game is predicted to have the most humidity of all games on the slate today (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.268) may lead us to conclude that Brett Baty has experienced some negative variance this year with his .240 actual batting average.
Total RBIs

Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 6th-best park in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to better offense.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
Total RBIs

Jurickson Profar o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 6th-best park in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP.. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to better offense.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
Total RBIs

Cedric Mullins o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 6th-best park in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP.. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to better offense.. This game is predicted to have the most humidity of all games on the slate today (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Cedric Mullins has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.1-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 88.7-mph EV.
Total RBIs

Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as the league's 12th-best home run hitter.. Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 6th-best ballpark in baseball for RHB BABIP.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to better offense.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to drop to the 3rd-lowest level on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).
Total RBIs

Francisco Lindor o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 6th-best ballpark in baseball for RHB BABIP.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to better offense.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to drop to the 3rd-lowest level on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).
Total RBIs

Mark Vientos o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his home run ability, Mark Vientos ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mark Vientos is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 6th-best ballpark in baseball for RHB BABIP.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to better offense.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to drop to the 3rd-lowest level on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).
Total RBIs

Michael Harris II o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Michael Harris II has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 6th-best park in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to better offense.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to drop to the 3rd-lowest level on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).