Kansas City @ Detroit picks
Comerica Park
KC vs DET Picks
MLB Picks
Earned Runs Allowed


Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Strikeouts Thrown

Ryan Bergert u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-105)
Projection 4.1 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Ryan Bergert is projected to throw 79 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 4th-least of all pitchers today.. Comerica Park grades out as the #22 ballpark in the league for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to better offense.. Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ryan Bergert today.. Ryan Bergert didn't have his best stuff when it came to striking batters out in his previous outing and accumulated 2 Ks.
Total RBIs

Wenceel Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to better offense.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Wenceel Perez will get to bat from his strong side against Ryan Bergert in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Wenceel Perez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Wenceel Perez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 14.1% to 22.4%.
Total RBIs

Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Salvador Perez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to better offense.. Among every team playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers.
Total RBIs

Vinnie Pasquantino o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to better offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have an advantage today.. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers.
Total RBIs

Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 12th-best hitter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to better offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Bergert throws from, Riley Greene will have the upper hand in today's game.
Total RBIs

Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his home run ability, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.. Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to better offense.. Spencer Torkelson will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Maikel Garcia o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Maikel Garcia is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to better offense.. Among every team playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers.
Total RBIs

Dillon Dingler o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.. Dillon Dingler will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Dillon Dingler's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, rising from 49.2% on the season to 62.1% in the last 14 days.. Dillon Dingler has posted a .272 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Dillon Dingler grades out in the 92nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (49.2% rate this year).
Total RBIs

Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 9th-best hitter in baseball.. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to better offense.. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers.
Outs Recorded

Ryan Bergert u14.5 Outs Recorded (+125)
Projection 13.5 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Ryan Bergert is projected to throw 79 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-least of all pitchers today.. Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.. Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ryan Bergert today.. With a 2.05 discrepancy between Ryan Bergert's 2.75 ERA and his 4.80 estimated true talent ERA (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in the game this year and figures to negatively regress the rest of the season.. Ryan Bergert has been one of the luckiest hurlers in the league on balls in play this year with a .225 BABIP and ought to see that luck normalize going forward.