Houston @ Baltimore picks

Houston has scored two runs or fewer in six of their last eight games. Although some of those matchups came against top-tier starters like Tarik Skubal and Jack Flaherty, they also got shut out by tonight’s starter, Brandon Young. Meanwhile, it'll be southpaw Jason Alexander starting tonight for Houston. He’s allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts, with a total of 4 ER in 22 2/3 IP in that span. The Astros (63-58) and Orioles (67-54) both trend to the Under this season, and that should continue tonight at Camden Yards.

Brandon Young has allowed a .283 average on the season and prodominently throws fastballs, a pitch Jose Altuve owns a .304 average against.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The #5 stadium in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Christian Walker's launch angle lately (49.7° over the last week) is a significant increase over his 16.8° seasonal mark.. Despite posting a .303 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Christian Walker has been unlucky given the .027 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .330.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 89th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Colton Cowser is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. The #5 stadium in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Colton Cowser will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jason Alexander in today's game.. Colton Cowser has a ton of pop (89th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (29.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jason Alexander doesn't generate many whiffs (11th percentile K%) — great news for Cowser.

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 17th-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The #5 stadium in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Gunnar Henderson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jason Alexander today.. Gunnar Henderson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Jose Altuve is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The #5 stadium in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Jose Altuve has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 92.8-mph average in the last week to his seasonal average of 89.7-mph.. Jose Altuve's launch angle this season (17.7°) is significantly better than his 14° mark last season.

Jackson Holliday's BABIP ability is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Holliday is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The #5 stadium in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Jackson Holliday will hold the platoon advantage against Jason Alexander today.. The Houston Astros outfield defense projects as the worst among every team playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Ryan Mountcastle is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. The #5 stadium in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Ryan Mountcastle has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest RF fences today.. Ryan Mountcastle will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. The #5 stadium in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Yainer Diaz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Yainer Diaz has been unlucky this year, notching a .297 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .327 — a .030 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 89th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Colton Cowser is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. The #5 stadium in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Colton Cowser will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jason Alexander in today's game.. Colton Cowser has a ton of pop (89th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (29.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jason Alexander doesn't generate many whiffs (11th percentile K%) — great news for Cowser.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The #5 stadium in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Christian Walker's launch angle lately (49.7° over the last week) is a significant increase over his 16.8° seasonal mark.. Despite posting a .303 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Christian Walker has been unlucky given the .027 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .330.

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 17th-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The #5 stadium in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Gunnar Henderson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jason Alexander today.. Gunnar Henderson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.