Houston @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Yainer Diaz is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 7th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Hitting from the same side that Brandon Young throws from, Yainer Diaz will have a disadvantage today. Yainer Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Among all stadiums, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's LF fences are the 3rd-deepest. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 7th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Batting from the same side that Brandon Young throws from, Carlos Correa encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup. Carlos Correa will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 7th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Batting from the same side that Brandon Young throws from, Jose Altuve will have a disadvantage in today's matchup. Jose Altuve pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.2% — 99th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's 3rd-deepest LF fences today. Jose Altuve will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 7th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Brandon Young will have the handedness advantage against Jeremy Pena today. Jeremy Pena pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (32.9% — 75th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's game. Jeremy Pena will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #9 field in the league for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coby Mayo will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 20.2°, Coby Mayo has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 25.5° angle over the last 14 days. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.232) provides evidence that Coby Mayo has been unlucky this year with his .204 actual batting average. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Coby Mayo ranks in the 87th percentile with a 20.2° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in the league.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Colton Cowser is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best venue in the game for lefty BABIP. Colton Cowser will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jason Alexander in today's game. Colton Cowser will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Luis Vazquez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #9 field in the league for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Luis Vazquez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Luis Vazquez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 17th-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best venue in the game for lefty BABIP. Gunnar Henderson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jason Alexander today. Gunnar Henderson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best venue in the game for lefty BABIP. The shallowest right field dimensions among all stadiums are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Batting from the opposite that Jason Alexander throws from, Dylan Beavers will have an advantage today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Dylan Beavers will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the past 7 days, Dylan Beavers's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 62.5% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best venue in the game for lefty BABIP. The shallowest right field dimensions among all stadiums are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Dylan Carlson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. There has been a significant improvement in Dylan Carlson's launch angle from last year's 15.5° to 18.5° this season. Over the past two weeks, Dylan Carlson has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 34.5° compared to his seasonal mark of 21.8°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #9 field in the league for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Mauricio Dubon has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Mauricio Dubon's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 12.1% to 19.4%. Posting a 1.77 K/BB rate this year, Mauricio Dubon has demonstrated impressive plate discipline, placing in the 79th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best venue in the game for lefty BABIP. The switch-hitting Victor Caratini will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Brandon Young. Victor Caratini hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Victor Caratini's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, going from 45.9% on the season to 71.4% in the past week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Ryan Mountcastle is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #9 field in the league for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Ryan Mountcastle has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest RF fences today. Ryan Mountcastle will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Jackson Holliday's BABIP ability is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Holliday is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best venue in the game for lefty BABIP. Jackson Holliday will hold the platoon advantage against Jason Alexander today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jackson Holliday will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best venue in the game for lefty BABIP. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Young throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jesus Sanchez has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .304 mark is a fair amount lower than his .337 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #9 field in the league for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Christian Walker's launch angle lately (49.7° over the last week) is a significant increase over his 16.8° seasonal mark. Despite posting a .303 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Christian Walker has been unlucky given the .027 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .330.

Jeremiah Jackson has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (83% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #9 field in the league for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jeremiah Jackson will hold that advantage today. Over the past week, Jeremiah Jackson's maximum exit velocity (a good indicator of recent form and raw power) has been 108.8-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in MLB. In the past two weeks, Jeremiah Jackson's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 28% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best venue in the game for lefty BABIP. The shallowest right field dimensions among all stadiums are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Young throws from, Jacob Melton will have an advantage in today's game. In the last 7 days, Jacob Melton's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.1% up to 20%. Jacob Melton has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.6-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 88-mph figure.

Alex Jackson has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.