Toronto @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props

PNC Park has the 7th-most fair ground in the league — generally bad for long-balls. Johan Oviedo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Springer in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for George Springer today. George Springer has been lucky this year, posting a .381 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .351 — a .030 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 4th-best park in the game for right-handed BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Liover Peguero will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Liover Peguero is remarkably athletic, ranking in the 92nd percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.13 ft/sec this year.

PNC Park has the 7th-most fair ground in the league — generally bad for long-balls. Bryan Reynolds's average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 90.9-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 87.8-mph in the last week. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Bryan Reynolds ranks in just the 8th percentile with a 7.4° launch angle, which is one of the most groundball-inducing angles in the game. With a 3.9 K/BB rate this year, Bryan Reynolds has shown poor plate discipline, ranking in the 19th percentile.

PNC Park has the 7th-most fair ground in the league — generally bad for long-balls. Johan Oviedo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alejandro Kirk today. Alejandro Kirk will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

PNC Park has the 7th-most fair ground in the league — generally bad for long-balls. Batting from the same side that Johan Oviedo throws from, Bo Bichette has a tough challenge in today's game. Bo Bichette will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Bo Bichette has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 8.9% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past 7 days. Bo Bichette's launch angle recently (2.9° in the last two weeks) is considerably worse than his 8.6° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The #4 ballpark in the league for boosting BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Andres Gimenez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Johan Oviedo in today's game. Andres Gimenez may have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Pittsburgh Pirates has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 4th-best park in the game for right-handed BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Ty France has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph to 97.8-mph in the last week's worth of games.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Davis Schneider ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 4th-best park in the game for right-handed BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Davis Schneider has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 18.7% seasonal rate to 26.7% over the past 14 days.

Nathan Lukes's batting average talent is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #4 ballpark in the league for boosting BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Nathan Lukes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Johan Oviedo today. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nathan Lukes can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 4th-best park in the game for right-handed BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Ernie Clement has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 87.3-mph average to last season's 85.3-mph mark.

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The #4 ballpark in the league for boosting BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Johan Oviedo throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an advantage in today's matchup. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

The #4 ballpark in the league for boosting BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Because of Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Jack Suwinski will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Jack Suwinski will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jack Suwinski has made big gains with his Barrel%, upping his 9% rate last season to 14.8% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 4th-best park in the game for right-handed BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Henry Davis will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Henry Davis has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 30.4° compared to his seasonal mark of 14.2°. Henry Davis's footspeed has increased this season. His 27.73 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.25 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Tommy Pham is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 4th-best park in the game for right-handed BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Tommy Pham will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 76th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 4th-best park in the game for right-handed BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Jared Triolo will hold that advantage today. Jared Triolo has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .261 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .326 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 4th-best park in the game for right-handed BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Andrew McCutchen will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 4th-best park in the game for right-handed BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last week's worth of games, Isiah Kiner-Falefa's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.3-mph over the course of the season to 90.5-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Addison Barger in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Addison Barger is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. The #4 ballpark in the league for boosting BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Johan Oviedo throws from, Addison Barger will have an advantage in today's game.

Ronny Simon has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (79% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The #4 ballpark in the league for boosting BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Ronny Simon will hold that advantage today.

Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. The #4 ballpark in the league for boosting BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Spencer Horwitz will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Bassitt today... and even more favorably, Bassitt has a large platoon split. Spencer Horwitz will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.