Milwaukee @ Chicago Picks & Props

Owen Caissie's BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Owen Caissie will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Woodruff in today's game. Owen Caissie has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Owen Caissie will hold that advantage in today's game.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Busch is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Michael Busch will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Woodruff today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Brice Turang will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Brice Turang has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Over the last 14 days, Brice Turang has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 7.2% to 18.2%.

Sal Frelick's batting average skill is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Sal Frelick is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Sal Frelick will have the upper hand today. Sal Frelick has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 85.5-mph average to last year's 83.3-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. William Contreras is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Over the last 14 days, William Contreras has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 5.9% to 11.8%. William Contreras has been unlucky this year, posting a .333 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .352 — a .019 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Ian Happ is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Ian Happ will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Brandon Woodruff today. Ian Happ will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich as the 12th-best hitter in baseball when estimating his BABIP talent. Christian Yelich is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Christian Yelich will hold the platoon advantage over Jameson Taillon in today's game. Christian Yelich has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Isaac Collins has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.2-mph to 91.1-mph in the past 14 days. Placing in the 92nd percentile, Isaac Collins sports a .368 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year. Checking in at the 98th percentile, Isaac Collins sits with a .362 BABIP this year.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew Vaughn is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. In the majors, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 6th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Andrew Vaughn has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 13.4% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the past week.

Caleb Durbin is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 93% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Caleb Durbin pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. When it comes to plate discipline, Caleb Durbin's talent is quite impressive, sporting a 1.38 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 92nd percentile.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Matt Shaw will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Matt Shaw has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 6.1% seasonal rate to 13% in the last 14 days. Over the past two weeks, Matt Shaw has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 26.6° compared to his seasonal mark of 13.1°. When it comes to his batting average, Matt Shaw has been unlucky this year. His .225 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .255.

When estimating his batting average talent, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 15th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage in today's game. Nico Hoerner has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.3-mph to 88.9-mph over the last 7 days. Nico Hoerner's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, increasing from 49.4% on the season to 76.2% in the past week.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Danny Jansen pulls many of his flyballs (42.7% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Danny Jansen has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.9-mph average to last year's 90.5-mph average. Danny Jansen's launch angle this season (25.2°) is a significant increase over his 21.6° figure last year.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Checking in at the 84th percentile, Blake Perkins has posted a .317 BABIP since the start of last season.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 15th-best batter in baseball. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. In the majors, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 6th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. In the majors, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 6th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Dansby Swanson's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.4-mph over the course of the season to 97.2-mph lately.

Carson Kelly is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. In the majors, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 6th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Carson Kelly will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Carson Kelly has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.5-mph average to last year's 91.4-mph EV.

Pete Crow-Armstrong has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.