Milwaukee @ Cincinnati picks

Milwaukee should scratch out enough runs against Abbott and a Reds bullpen with a 3.41 ERA and 1.38 WHIP over its last 37 innings to cover the run line today. 

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best batter in the league as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. The #2 field in baseball for boosting home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Elly De La Cruz has big-time power (80th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (27.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jose Quintana struggles to strike batters out (20th percentile K%) — great news for De La Cruz.. Elly De La Cruz has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

Spencer Steer has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (57% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #2 field in baseball for boosting home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Spencer Steer will have an edge today.. Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.. Spencer Steer will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich as the 12th-best batter in the league when estimating his BABIP talent.. Christian Yelich is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #2 venue in the league for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games today at 90°.. Christian Yelich has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for home runs.. Among all major league parks, Great American Ball Park's RF fences are the 7th-shallowest.. The Milwaukee Brewers have 8 hitters in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Abbott in this matchup.. Andrew Abbott is an extreme flyball pitcher (41.6% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #2 HR venue among all major league parks in today's game.. Considering that flyball batters hold a big edge over groundball pitchers, Andrew Abbott and his 41.6% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a troublesome position in today's game being matched up with 3 opposing GB batters.

The #2 field in baseball for boosting home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Danny Jansen will have an advantage today.. Danny Jansen pulls a lot of his flyballs (43% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.. Cincinnati's 2nd-worst outfield defense of the day creates a favorable matchup for Danny Jansen, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best batter in the league as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. The #2 field in baseball for boosting home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Elly De La Cruz has big-time power (80th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (27.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jose Quintana struggles to strike batters out (20th percentile K%) — great news for De La Cruz.. Elly De La Cruz has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

Sal Frelick is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. The #2 venue in the league for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Among all major league parks, Great American Ball Park's RF fences are the 7th-shallowest.. Extreme flyball bats like Sal Frelick generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Andrew Abbott.. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best batter in the league as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. The #2 field in baseball for boosting home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Elly De La Cruz has big-time power (80th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (27.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jose Quintana struggles to strike batters out (20th percentile K%) — great news for De La Cruz.. Elly De La Cruz has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. The #2 field in baseball for boosting home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Among all stadiums, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games today at 90°.. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Noelvi Marte will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, William Contreras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. William Contreras is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The #2 field in baseball for boosting home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. William Contreras will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's matchup.. William Contreras has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.