Seattle @ New York picks

In 2025, Nolan McLean is 8-5 with a 2.45 ERA in 113.2 combined innings at the Double-A and Triple-A levels, and has struck out 127 batters in that time. Debut pitchers often give MLB lineups the fits, and McLean’s talents would appear to be hard to deal with before seeing him throw once or twice. I’m expecting him to have at least a solid start to his career today against the Seattle Mariners. Seattle is tossing an excellent starter as well in Bryan Woo, who is 10-6 with a 3.08 ERA and sterling 0.952 WHIP on the season. We should be in for a great pitchers duel at Citi Field today, and I’m taking the Under.

Shane Livensparger grades out as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is likely to be umping in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.. As a result of his large platoon split, Bryan Woo will have a tough challenge matching up with 7 bats in the projected lineup of opposing handedness in today's game.. Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bryan Woo today.. Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Bryan Woo has relied on his fastball a lot this year, though: 72.2% of the time, grading out in the 100th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 90th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Citi Field.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.. Francisco Alvarez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Francisco Alvarez has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 11.6% seasonal rate to 23.8% in the last 14 days.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage over Bryan Woo in today's game... and even better, Woo has a large platoon split.. Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Citi Field.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.. Given Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Cedric Mullins will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Cedric Mullins will hold that advantage in today's game.. Last year, Cedric Mullins had an average launch angle of 12.5° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 16.1°.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 17th-best batter in the league.. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Citi Field.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.. Pete Alonso will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Eugenio Suarez as the game's 15th-best home run hitter.. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.4% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball bats like Eugenio Suarez tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Nolan McLean.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.8-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.. Brandon Nimmo will have the handedness advantage over Bryan Woo in today's matchup... and moreover, Woo has a large platoon split.. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Canzone in the 75th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Citi Field.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Nolan McLean throws from, Dominic Canzone will have an edge today.. Dominic Canzone has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.1-mph average to last year's 89.9-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 3rd-best batter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.. Julio Rodriguez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Julio Rodriguez has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 9.9% seasonal rate to 26.7% over the past week.

The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Citi Field.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.8-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.. Extreme flyball batters like Jorge Polanco generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Nolan McLean.. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.. Jorge Polanco has paced 28 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year, checking in at the 83rd percentile for power.