Texas @ Toronto picks
Rogers Centre
TEX vs TOR Picks
MLB Picks
MoneyLine

Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
Total Bases


Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
Alejandro Kirk was 2-for-4 last night with a home run and four RBI en route to guiding the Toronto Blue Jays to victory over the Texas Rangers. He’s feeling it and this could be the start of another offensive run for the Jays’ backstop, who has been one of the best hitting catchers in baseball this season. Kirk is hitting .296 on the year, and ranks in the 94th percentile in xBA, while also ranking in the 90th percentile in hard hit rate. Kirk is also 3-for-3 lifetime against Patrick Corbin with a pair of extra base hits. I like the value of plus-money for the multi-base evening for him tonight.
Total RBIs

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best batter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average ability.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The #3 venue in the majors for boosting home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in today's game.
Total RBIs

Daulton Varsho o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Rogers Centre projects as the #3 park in baseball for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Texas Rangers.. Daulton Varsho will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Kyle Higashioka o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The #3 venue in the majors for boosting home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Kyle Higashioka will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eric Lauer in today's matchup.. Kyle Higashioka has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 8.6% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the past 14 days.
Total RBIs

George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. George Springer is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. The #3 venue in the majors for boosting home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. George Springer will hold the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in today's game.
Total Bases

Wyatt Langford o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 venue in the majors for boosting home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.
Total Bases

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best batter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average ability.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The #3 venue in the majors for boosting home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in today's game.
Total Bases

Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Jake Burger is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. The #3 venue in the majors for boosting home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.
Total Bases

Davis Schneider u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.7 (Under)
EV Model Rating
When starting against a lefty hurler this year, Davis Schneider has been pinch hit for 68% of the time.. The league's 8th-tallest average fence height can be found at Rogers Centre.. Despite posting a .363 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Davis Schneider has experienced some positive variance given the .039 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .324.. Davis Schneider has notched a .201 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Checking in at the 8th percentile, Davis Schneider has put up a .205 batting average since the start of last season.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Josh Smith o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-165)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Rogers Centre projects as the #3 park in baseball for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Grading out in the 79th percentile, Josh Smith has put up a .272 batting average this year.
Total Bases

Corey Seager o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Corey Seager projects as the 7th-best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corey Seager is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Rogers Centre projects as the #3 park in baseball for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.