Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Corbin Carroll in today's game.
Coors Field
Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Corbin Carroll in today's game.
As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Ketel Marte will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side against Chase Dollander in today's matchup. Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Ketel Marte's average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 94-mph EV last season has dropped to 90.9-mph. As it relates to his batting average, Ketel Marte has been lucky this year. His .297 figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .262.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Jordan Beck is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best field in baseball for right-handed batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today.
Ryan Ritter's BABIP talent is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best field in baseball for right-handed batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Ryan Ritter will hold that advantage today.
Tyler Locklear is penciled in 6th in the batting order today. Hitting from the same side that Chase Dollander throws from, Tyler Locklear will be in a tough position in today's game. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Tyler Locklear today. Tyler Locklear has shown some bad exit velocity indicators of late, averaging just 88-mph on his flyballs in the past week. Putting up a 3.3° launch angle in the last 7 days suggests that Tyler Locklear has been finding it challenging to lift the ball in recent games, which is a key component of hitting for power.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 19th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Geraldo Perdomo today. Over the past 14 days, Geraldo Perdomo's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 90.2 mph to 85.3 mph. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Geraldo Perdomo's true offensive ability to be a .312, indicating that he has been lucky this year given the .049 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .361 wOBA.
Ryne Nelson will have the handedness advantage against Warming Bernabel today. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-best among every team on the slate today. Warming Bernabel's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 86.2-mph seasonal average has dropped to 82.1-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games. Compared to his seasonal angle of 11.2°, Warming Bernabel has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-5°) in the past two weeks. In the last 14 days, Warming Bernabel has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.
Ryne Nelson will have the handedness advantage against Tyler Freeman in today's matchup. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-best among every team on the slate today. Over the past two weeks, Tyler Freeman's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 88.8 mph to 86.2 mph. Tyler Freeman's launch angle this year (8.2°) is considerably worse than his 12.9° figure last season. Despite posting a .346 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Tyler Freeman has had positive variance on his side given the .020 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .326.
Chase Dollander will have the handedness advantage against Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in today's game. Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in today's matchup. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph dropping to 78.7-mph over the last week. With a .294 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is positioned in the 22nd percentile. With a .242 BABIP this year, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has performed in the 4th percentile.
Hunter Goodman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best field in baseball for right-handed batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Hunter Goodman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Brenton Doyle's BABIP talent is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best field in baseball for right-handed batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Brenton Doyle will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Mickey Moniak is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Coors Field grades out as the #1 venue in MLB for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Mickey Moniak will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson in today's game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best field in baseball for right-handed batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Alexander in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best field in baseball for right-handed batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Blaze Alexander has made big gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 3.4% rate last year to 14.1% this season.
Batting from the same side that Ryne Nelson throws from, Ezequiel Tovar will not have the upper hand in today's game. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-best among every team on the slate today. In the past 14 days, Ezequiel Tovar's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 93.8 mph to 87.7 mph. With a .299 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ezequiel Tovar is ranked in the 25th percentile. Posting a 5.09 K/BB rate this year, Ezequiel Tovar has shown weak plate discipline, placing in the 7th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best field in baseball for right-handed batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today.
Coors Field grades out as the #1 venue in MLB for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Yanquiel Fernandez will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Yanquiel Fernandez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Karros in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best field in baseball for right-handed batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Kyle Karros will hold that advantage in today's game.
Coors Field grades out as the #1 venue in MLB for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Chase Dollander throws from, Alek Thomas will have an edge in today's game. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alek Thomas has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.
Adrian Del Castillo is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Coors Field grades out as the #1 venue in MLB for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Adrian Del Castillo will have the handedness advantage against Chase Dollander in today's matchup.
Coors Field grades out as the #1 venue in MLB for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Jose Herrera grades out in the 91st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (21.3% rate this year).