Seattle @ New York picks

Manaea has posted a 4.33 ERA in 27 innings of work, and has been particularly poor in his last two starts. He’s allowed at least four earned runs in each of those outings, giving up a homer in both appearances. The Mariners have been productive on offense, averaging 4.54 runs per game. They have bats that perform well against lefties, including Julio Rodriguez and Cal Raleigh. And starter Luis Castillo (8-6, 3.19 ERA) is having one of his better years so far in 2025. 

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Considering Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Juan Soto will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Juan Soto will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Mitch Garver will have the upper hand in today's game.. Mitch Garver pulls a lot of his flyballs (40% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.. Mitch Garver has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.8-mph average to last season's 94.6-mph mark.. Mitch Garver's 19.7° launch angle (an advanced standard to evaluate a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in the league: 85th percentile.

Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.1% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.. Jorge Polanco has hit 28.4 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year, checking in at the 84th percentile for power.. Jorge Polanco has shown impressive plate discipline this year, grading out in the 79th percentile with a 1.74 K/BB rate.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums.. Cedric Mullins will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Castillo in today's matchup... and moreover, Castillo has a large platoon split.. Cedric Mullins will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.. Last season, Cedric Mullins had an average launch angle of 12.5° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 16.1°.

When estimating his home run ability, Dominic Canzone ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Dominic Canzone is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums.. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.. Dominic Canzone has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.1-mph average to last season's 89.9-mph mark.

Cal Raleigh projects as the 5th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Sean Manaea.. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.8% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Out of all the teams today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Eugenio Suarez projects as the 15th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Eugenio Suarez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea today.. Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.4% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Julio Rodriguez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup.. Julio Rodriguez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Out of all the teams today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 83rd percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage today.. Mark Vientos has been unlucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 13.4 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a fair amount lower than his 16.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage in today's matchup.