Seattle @ Baltimore picks
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
SEA vs BAL Picks
MLB Picks
Total Bases


Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Randy Arozarena profiles well against Tomoyuki Sugano’s pitch mix. Sugano’s go-to pitch against righties is the sweeper, which Arozarena is sporting a .289 ISO against. He has a higher ISO vs. the sweeper than any of the four most frequent pitches he’s seen this season. Also working in Arozarena’s favor is playing outside of Seattle. He has averaged an extra 0.2 bases per game and cleared 1.5 bases at a 9% higher rate on the road this season.
Total RBIs

Mitch Garver o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Mitch Garver has big-time power (88th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (27.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Tomoyuki Sugano struggles to strike batters out (21st percentile K%) — great news for Garver.. This season, Mitch Garver has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.8 mph compared to last year's 94.6 mph mark.. Mitch Garver has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 17.6° mark is among the highest in the majors this year (85th percentile).
Total RBIs

Gunnar Henderson o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 18th-best batter in baseball.. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Gunnar Henderson will have the handedness advantage over Logan Evans in today's game.
Total RBIs

Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Eugenio Suarez as the majors's 15th-best home run hitter.. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Eugenio Suarez has big-time HR ability (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (28.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Tomoyuki Sugano struggles to strike batters out (16th percentile K%) — great news for Suarez.
Total RBIs

Dominic Canzone o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run ability, Dominic Canzone ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. Among all major league stadiums, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF dimensions are the shallowest.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Dominic Canzone will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Jordan Westburg o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jordan Westburg ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jordan Westburg is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Jordan Westburg hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences today.
Total RBIs

Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+115)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 5th-best batter in the game when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Julio Rodriguez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences today.
Total RBIs

Coby Mayo o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his home run ability, Coby Mayo ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Coby Mayo has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (95% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Coby Mayo has big-time HR ability (76th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (27.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Logan Evans struggles to strike batters out (20th percentile K%) — great news for Mayo.
Total RBIs

Cal Raleigh o0.5 Total RBIs (-105)
Projection 0.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as Major League Baseball's 5th-best home run batter.. Cal Raleigh is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.7% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total Bases

Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Eugenio Suarez as the majors's 15th-best home run hitter.. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Eugenio Suarez has big-time HR ability (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (28.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Tomoyuki Sugano struggles to strike batters out (16th percentile K%) — great news for Suarez.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Alex Jackson o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-140)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Alex Jackson has big-time power (87th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (31.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Logan Evans struggles to strike batters out (6th percentile K%) — great news for Jackson.. Out of all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Alex Jackson will hold that advantage in today's game.