Atlanta @ New York picks

Tonight presents a golden opportunity for the Mets as they face off against Braves SP Carlos Carrasco. The former Met struggled with the Yankees earlier this season, and hasn’t gotten the job done in his two starts for Atlanta, either. Between his two stops in 2025, he’s put up a 6.18 ERA and a 1.58 WHIP, allowing nine homers in 43 2/3 innings. I like the Mets to win by multiple runs.

 

August has been kind to Juan Soto so far. He’s hitting .282 with three home runs already, taking his season total to 28. After a slow start, the $765-million  man has come alive for the  Mets. Braves right-hander Carlos Carrasco is far from the same pitcher he used to be. While Soto is just 2-for-10 against him, he has taken Carrasco deep, and the righty has allowed nine bombs in just 10 appearances this season. 

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Marcell Ozuna will have an edge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.. Michael Harris II has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

When it comes to his home run talent, Sean Murphy ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Sean Murphy is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Sean Murphy will have an advantage in today's game.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Matt Olson ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Matt Olson is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.. Matt Olson has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Ozzie Albies will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against David Peterson today.. Ozzie Albies pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 89th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage in today's game.

Starling Marte's batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Starling Marte will hold that advantage today.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (75%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.. The switch-hitting Ronny Mauricio will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Carlos Carrasco.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Ronny Mauricio will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.. Francisco Lindor hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as MLB's 11th-best home run batter.. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.