Minnesota @ New York picks

The Yankees will enter this game 10th in whiff rate and inside the Top 10 in a host of other strikeout metrics. But putting that into “what have you done lately for me” terms, those numbers drift to the Top-7 range. Ryan has faced seven teams in the Top 10 in whiff rate this season. In those starts, he’s allowed seven runs in 36 innings. Four of those runs came in a five-inning appearance against the Athletics. I’ll back him on the mound today with an average Twins offense giving him just enough support.

There’s smoke and mirrors in Kelly’s strikeout numbers because he’s fanned five or fewer in five of his past seven starts, with an outlier 11-strikeout game boosting him to a 9.22 K/9 and 26.3 K% during the stretch. He’ll also face a tough New York lineup at homer-happy Yankee Stadium. The Bronx Bombers rank fourth in wOBA and second in ISO against righties, and they have screaming statistical correction ahead of their 29th-ranked .217 BABIP in August.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 97th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences among all major league parks.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the most humid conditions on the schedule today at 78%.. Considering Joe Ryan's large platoon split, Trent Grisham will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

When assessing his home run talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences among all major league parks.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 79%.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the handedness advantage against Joe Ryan today... and moreover, Ryan has a large platoon split.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as baseball's 8th-best home run hitter.. Byron Buxton is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences among all major league parks.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 79%.. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Ben Rice is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences among all major league parks.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 79%.. Ben Rice will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Ryan in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Ryan has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences among all major league parks.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the most humid conditions on the schedule today at 78%.. Given Joe Ryan's large platoon split, Cody Bellinger will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.

Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences among all major league parks.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the most humid conditions on the schedule today at 78%.. Aaron Judge will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ryan Jeffers is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences among all major league parks.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 79%.. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among every team on the slate today.

Matt Wallner projects as the 7th-best home run hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences among all major league parks.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 79%.. Matt Wallner will hold the platoon advantage against Cam Schlitter in today's game.. Matt Wallner pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.6% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences among all major league parks.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the most humid conditions on the schedule today at 78%.. Considering Joe Ryan's large platoon split, Austin Wells will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.. Austin Wells may have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins has just 1 same-handed RP.. Austin Wells will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 97th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences among all major league parks.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the most humid conditions on the schedule today at 78%.. Considering Joe Ryan's large platoon split, Trent Grisham will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.