Pittsburgh @ Milwaukee picks

Not only does the clear pitching advantage of Brandon Woodruff over Mitch Keller go to the home team, but the hitting edge does as well. The Brewers outrank Pittsburgh by a substantial margin in runs per game, hits per game, slugging percentage, and OPS.

Throwing 81.5 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Brandon Woodruff falls in the 20th percentile.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Brandon Woodruff (39.1% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 3 GB hitters in Pittsburgh's projected batting order.. Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Brandon Woodruff has utilized his fastball a lot this year, though: 64.5% of the time, placing in the 100th percentile.. Brandon Woodruff has experienced some positive variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, notching an 11.46 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.23 — a 2.23 K/9 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as MLB's 6th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Oneil Cruz will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Woodruff in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. In the majors, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Brandon Woodruff in today's matchup.

Isaac Collins has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (59% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Isaac Collins will hold that advantage today.. Isaac Collins has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.2-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 88.3-mph mark.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, William Contreras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. William Contreras is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. William Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich as the 12th-best batter in the league as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Christian Yelich is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. In the majors, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Christian Yelich will have the upper hand today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jack Suwinski in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Woodruff throws from, Jack Suwinski will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Jack Suwinski's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (24.1°) is a considerable increase over his 8.5° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as MLB's 6th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Oneil Cruz will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Woodruff in today's game.

Joey Bart's BABIP talent is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In the majors, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Joey Bart's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 43.1% to 52.7%.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (14.2) suggests that Joey Bart has been unlucky this year with his 4.7 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Andrew McCutchen hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences today.