San Diego @ San Francisco picks
Oracle Park
SD vs SF Picks
MLB Picks
Hits Allowed


Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
The Taiwanese right-hander is coming off a five-inning bulk-relief role on the 8th where he struck out four and allowed three hits. He had one start before that on five days of rest and also struck out four on just 67 pitches with four hits allowed. THE BAT is projecting a leash of 81 pitches today, but considering he is pitching on one fewer day of rest, 70 pitches is in the range of outcomes. It’s a getaway game for the Padres, so there is potential for some lazy ABs or perhaps a softer lineup. I wouldn’t play this much shorter than -110, but Oracle will help, and a possible four-inning outing on shorter rest. The best price might come closer to first pitch.
Total RBIs

Matt Chapman o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Matt Chapman projects as the 17th-best home run batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Chapman is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Matt Chapman will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs

Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best stadium in baseball for lefty batting average.. In the majors, Oracle Park's right field dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.
Total RBIs

Heliot Ramos o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Heliot Ramos ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.. Heliot Ramos has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Willy Adames is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.. The San Diego Padres infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst out of every team on the slate today.
Total RBIs

Casey Schmitt o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Casey Schmitt has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (88% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.. The San Diego Padres infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst out of every team on the slate today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Casey Schmitt will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs

Jackson Merrill o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Jackson Merrill's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best stadium in baseball for lefty batting average.. In the majors, Oracle Park's right field dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.
Total RBIs

Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 9th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Fernando Tatis Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.1-mph over the course of the season to 100.9-mph lately.
Total RBIs

Jake Cronenworth o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best stadium in baseball for lefty batting average.. In the majors, Oracle Park's right field dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Kai-Wei Teng throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an edge today.
Total RBIs

Ryan O'Hearn o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best stadium in baseball for lefty batting average.. In the majors, Oracle Park's right field dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.. Ryan O'Hearn will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kai-Wei Teng in today's game.
Total RBIs

Ramon Laureano o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Ramon Laureano's BABIP skill is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.. The San Francisco Giants infield defense profiles as the weakest among all the teams in action today.. With a .511 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Ramon Laureano has performed in the 92nd percentile.