Great American Ball Park
The Phillies have a notable pitching advantage with Ranger Suarez bringing a tidy 2.94 ERA and 1.15 WHIP to the hill to face the Reds. Cincinnati struggles against southpaws, too. The Reds sport a 25th-ranked wOBA for the season and the lowest ISO against lefties since the All-Star break. Philly has also been solid against right-handed arms with a sixth-ranked wOBA, including the second-highest mark in the second half. Cincy righty Brady Singer sports a run-of-the-mill 4.53 ERA and 1.35 WHIP while allowing a 41.4% hard-hit rate, too.
Ranger Suarez u17.5 Outs Recorded (+140)
This number opened at 18.5 but is going to flip to 17.5 at great plus money. It’s a road start in one of the toughest pitching parks in baseball, and Ranger Suarez does not come into this game in great form. The lefty is 3-3 O/U to this prop across his last six starts, which is profitable at this price and owns a 4.96 ERA with a 1.46 WHIP across those 35 innings. THE BAT is projecting 93 pitches in GABP where the temperatures are going to feel higher than 90 degrees and there might even be a stray storm that blows in. Play this to +110.
Because of Brady Singer's large platoon split, J.T. Realmuto will be at a gigantic disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in this game. J.T. Realmuto will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.
Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 stadium in baseball for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Max Kepler will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's game... and moreover, Singer has a large platoon split. Max Kepler pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.
Brady Singer will have the handedness advantage over Nick Castellanos in today's matchup... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Singer's large platoon split. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nick Castellanos in today's matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 stadium in baseball for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's matchup... and moreover, Singer has a large platoon split. Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
TJ Friedl is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 stadium in baseball for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. TJ Friedl pulls many of his flyballs (38.2% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams playing today.
Spencer Steer has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (59% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best venue in the game for right-handed batting average. The weather forecast projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Spencer Steer will have an edge in today's matchup. Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best venue in the game for right-handed batting average. Great American Ball Park has the 6th-shallowest LF fences in the league. The weather forecast projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best venue in the game for right-handed batting average. The weather forecast projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Santiago Espinal will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Santiago Espinal has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams playing today.
Brady Singer will hold the platoon advantage against Trea Turner today... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Singer's large platoon split. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Trea Turner in today's matchup.
When it comes to his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brandon Marsh has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (94% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 stadium in baseball for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Brandon Marsh will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brady Singer today... and the cherry on top, Singer has a large platoon split.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best venue in the game for right-handed batting average. Great American Ball Park has the 6th-shallowest LF fences in the league. The weather forecast projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Noelvi Marte will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 12th-best batter in the majors. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 stadium in baseball for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Bryce Harper will hold the platoon advantage against Brady Singer today... and even better, Singer has a large platoon split.
Austin Hays is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best venue in the game for right-handed batting average. The weather forecast projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Austin Hays will have the handedness advantage over Ranger Suarez in today's game. Austin Hays pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
When assessing his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best venue in the game for right-handed batting average. The weather forecast projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Elly De La Cruz has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 13th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 stadium in baseball for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage over Brady Singer in today's matchup... and moreover, Singer has a large platoon split.
Matt McLain's BABIP ability is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best venue in the game for right-handed batting average. The weather forecast projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Matt McLain will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez today. Matt McLain has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best venue in the game for right-handed batting average. The weather forecast projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jose Trevino will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez today. Jose Trevino pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.1% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams playing today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best venue in the game for right-handed batting average. The weather forecast projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Ke'Bryan Hayes will have an advantage in today's matchup. Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams playing today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Andujar in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Miguel Andujar is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best venue in the game for right-handed batting average. Great American Ball Park has the 6th-shallowest LF fences in the league. The weather forecast projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Last Meeting ( Aug 11, 2025 ) Philadelphia 4, Cincinnati 1
Kyle Schwarber looks to continue his homer-happy season in his hometown as the visiting Philadelphia Phillies battle the host Cincinnati Reds in the middle contest of a three-game series on Tuesday.
Schwarber did it again Monday night, belting his 13th career homer at Great American Ball Park, the most in any stadium that he has not called home at one point in his career.
In 48 career games in Cincinnati, he has 32 RBIs. Schwarber socked his 42nd homer of the season to highlight a four-run, two-out rally in the eighth inning as the Philadelphia beat the Reds 4-1 on Monday.
The Phillies moved 20 games over .500 for the first time this season at 69-49. Philadelphia improved to 4-0 at the start of a 10-game road swing through Texas, Cincinnati and Washington.
Schwarber, 32, was born and raised in Middletown, Ohio, around 40 miles north of Cincinnati, and grew up a Reds fan.
Schwarber is set to become a free agent at the end of the season.
"(During the All-Star break, I was) asked the question, 'If things don't work out, would you ever think about Cincinnati?'" Schwarber said before the Monday game. "I mean, absolutely, right? I grew up watching the team, and people (say) why wouldn't want to play for a hometown team, but there's so many different aspects that go in the free agency and everything like that."
Before Philadelphia's rally in the eighth, the highlights of the night for the Reds included Andrew Abbott retiring the first 12 batters he faced along with three tremendous defensive plays. The last one involved newly installed right fielder Noelvi Marte, who threw out Bryce Harper at the plate on a fly to right field to end the seventh inning.
"He's got a great arm, and he's working hard out there," said teammate Gavin Lux, who saw the play from his spot in left field. "He's brand new. He's played 15 games out there, not even. So he's already got two assists. And he's really talented, so it's, I think he's going to be really good out there for a long time."
Third baseman Ke'Bryan Hayes and shortstop Elly De La Cruz also had stellar plays in the field to keep it 1-0 Cincinnati until the eighth.
However, a lack of offense stymied the Reds. So far in August, Cincinnati has scored three runs or fewer in eight of is 10 games.
The Phillies will send left-hander Ranger Suarez (8-5, 2.94 ERA) to the mound on Tuesday, making his second start of the season against Cincinnati. He received a no-decision in Philadelphia's 5-1 home win on July 5, allowing one run on five hits in five innings, striking out six and walking two.
Lifetime against Cincinnati, Suarez is 2-0 with a 2.12 ERA in nine appearances (five starts).
Over his past six starts, Suarez is 1-3 with a 4.89 ERA. Most recently, he lost to the Baltimore Orioles on Wednesday after permitting five runs on nine hits in 6 1/3 innings.
The Reds will counter with right-hander Brady Singer (9-8, 4.53 ERA). In his only career start against Philadelphia, Singer allowed five runs on 11 hits in five innings during an 11-2 Phillies win at Kansas City on Aug. 24, 2024.
Singer is coming off a rocky outing on Thursday at Pittsburgh, where he allowed four runs on six hits in 3 2/3 innings.
--Field Level Media
Philadelphia Trends
Cincinnati Trends
