Minnesota @ New York picks
Yankee Stadium
MIN vs NYY Picks
MLB Picks
Outs Recorded


Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
Carlos Rodón’s BABIP that exceeds .230 is a pretty large indicator that he’s been lucky compared to what his actual ERA suggests. Because of that, I’ve circled Rodon as a pitcher I expect to regress in the second half of the season. With pedestrian barrel rate and hard-hit rate numbers, I like the Twins’ chances to run him from the game with relative ease. Although Minnesota hasn’t had a great season, this is still an offense with a fair amount of power that comes into this game just outside the top ten in barrel rate and above average in hard-hit rate.
Total RBIs

Ryan Jeffers o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 81st percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Ryan Jeffers is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°.. Ryan Jeffers will hold the platoon advantage over Carlos Rodon in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Matt Wallner o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Wallner as baseball's 7th-best home run batter.. Matt Wallner is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°.. Matt Wallner pulls many of his flyballs (37.6% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Kody Clemens o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°.. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.. Checking in at the 89th percentile for power, Kody Clemens has paced 31.1 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year.
Total RBIs

Byron Buxton o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as the majors's 8th-best home run batter.. Byron Buxton is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°.. Byron Buxton will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Rodon today.
Total RBIs

Austin Wells o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°.. Austin Wells will hold the platoon advantage over Travis Adams in today's game.. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Austin Wells can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.. Austin Wells will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Luke Keaschall o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Luke Keaschall's batting average talent is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Luke Keaschall is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°.. Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Luke Keaschall will have the upper hand today.
Total RBIs

Aaron Judge o0.5 Total RBIs (+100)
Projection 0.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in Major League Baseball.. Aaron Judge is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°.. Aaron Judge will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Giancarlo Stanton o0.5 Total RBIs (+115)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Giancarlo Stanton as baseball's 5th-best home run hitter.. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Giancarlo Stanton will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Royce Lewis o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Royce Lewis is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°.. Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Royce Lewis will have the upper hand today.
Total RBIs

Paul Goldschmidt o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°.. Paul Goldschmidt will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.