Pittsburgh @ Milwaukee picks

While the pitching edge goes to Pittsburgh and Skenes, that gap is far narrower than the hitting disparity. Entering this matchup, the Pirates rank last in the league in runs per game, slugging percentage, OPS, and home runs. On the other hand, Milwaukee ranks in the top four in scoring, hits, batting average, and on-base percentage.

Happy Paul Skenes day to those who celebrate. Today's edition of who the Pirates won't score against is the Milwaukee Brewers and Freddy Peralta. I'll back Skenes to keep these Brewers' bats in check, while Peralta deals against a weak-hitting Pirates. squad. 

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup in today's games is the Milwaukee Brewers with a 20% underlying K%.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense.. Paul Skenes will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.. Paul Skenes's fastball velocity has dropped 1.3 mph this year (97.6 mph) below where it was last season (98.9 mph).. Paul Skenes's 2240-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 21st percentile out of all SPs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Freddy Peralta in this game.

Oneil Cruz projects as the 6th-best home run batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense.. Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage over Freddy Peralta today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich as the 12th-best batter in the league when estimating his BABIP talent.. Christian Yelich is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Christian Yelich will have the handedness advantage against Paul Skenes today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. William Contreras is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense.. William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Andrew Vaughn is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Andrew Vaughn will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

As it relates to his home run ability, Jack Suwinski ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense.. Jack Suwinski will have the handedness advantage over Freddy Peralta today.

American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.

Oneil Cruz projects as the 6th-best home run batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense.. Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage over Freddy Peralta today.

American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Paul Skenes will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.. Paul Skenes's fastball velocity has dropped 1.3 mph this year (97.6 mph) below where it was last season (98.9 mph).. Paul Skenes's 2240-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 21st percentile out of all SPs.