Tampa Bay @ Seattle picks

Houser could struggle early against a Mariners lineup that’s smashed three homers and boasts an .851 OPS across 56 at-bats against the right-hander. Woo has pitched six or more innings in 22 straight starts, and his sweeper should generate plenty of whiffs. 

Raleigh has homered in back-to-back games to extend his league lead in home runs to 44. He has been phenomenal this season, ranking in the 95th percentile in xSLG, 88th percentile in average exit velocity, 98th percentile in barrel rate, and 90th percentile in hard-hit rate. That success is likely to continue against Adrian Houser, who ranks in the 14th percentile or lower in xBA, average exit velocity, and hard-hit rate.

The Tampa Bay Rays (20.1 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 3rd-least strikeout-prone group of batters of the day.. Adrian Johnson grades out as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be calling pitches in this game.. Projected catcher Mitch Garver grades out as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Because of his large platoon split, Bryan Woo will be at a disadvantage squaring off against 6 batters in the projected batting order who bat from the other side in today's matchup.. Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Bryan Woo has used his fastball a lot this year, though: 71.6% of the time, checking in at the 100th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 91st percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. Junior Caminero pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.1% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams playing today.. Junior Caminero has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 11.9% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the last week.

When estimating his batting average skill, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams playing today.. Last year, Yandy Diaz had an average launch angle of 1.3° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 6.3°.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Adrian Houser is projected to throw 85 pitches in today's outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 8th-least of all pitchers on the slate today.. Adrian Johnson grades out as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be calling pitches in this game.. The 4th-shallowest RF fences among all stadiums are found in T-Mobile Park.. Adrian Houser will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.. Adrian Houser's high usage percentage of his fastball (59.4% this year) is likely weakening his results, considering they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Given Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Brandon Lowe will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.. Brandon Lowe pulls many of his flyballs (35.1% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Garver in the 89th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Mitch Garver has big-time HR ability (89th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (27.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Adrian Houser doesn't generate many whiffs (21st percentile K%) — great news for Garver.. Mitch Garver pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Mitch Garver will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.. Mitch Garver has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.8-mph average to last year's 94.6-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Given Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Brandon Lowe will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.. Brandon Lowe pulls many of his flyballs (35.1% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams playing today.

When estimating his batting average skill, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams playing today.. Last year, Yandy Diaz had an average launch angle of 1.3° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 6.3°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 91st percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. Junior Caminero pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.1% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today.. Junior Caminero has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 11.9% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the last week.

T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls.. Tristan Peters will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo in today's game... and moreover, Woo has a large platoon split.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams playing today.