Boston @ San Diego picks

San Diego should have a starting pitching advantage. Dylan Cease has vastly underperformed his metrics this season with a 4.60 ERA. His 3.41 xERA is supported by an elite .221 xBA, 30.6% K rate, and 108 Stuff+. Brayan Bello, on the other hand, is fortunate to have a 3.03 ERA. It’s not supported by his 4.41 xERA or 4.25 xFIP, and he doesn’t make batters miss (14th percentile whiff rate) or limit base knocks (23rd percentile xBA). 

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 10th-best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Petco Park grades out as the #7 field in baseball for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all stadiums, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Manny Machado's batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Petco Park grades out as the #7 field in baseball for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all stadiums, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. Petco Park grades out as the #7 park in baseball for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Petco Park.. Among all stadiums, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Alex Bregman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. Petco Park grades out as the #7 field in baseball for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Petco Park.. Among all stadiums, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.

As it relates to his home run ability, Trevor Story ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trevor Story is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Petco Park grades out as the #7 field in baseball for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all stadiums, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. The San Diego Padres infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

The 5th-best projected lineup of the day in terms of overall offensive ability is that of the San Diego Padres.. It may be best to expect better numbers for the San Diego Padres offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 2nd-unluckiest offense in baseball this year.. The shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Petco Park.. Among all stadiums, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brayan Bello in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Petco Park grades out as the #7 field in baseball for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all stadiums, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. The San Diego Padres infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.. In comparison to his 92.3-mph average last year, Romy Gonzalez's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 94.7 mph.

The shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Petco Park.. Among all stadiums, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. In the last 7 days, Connor Wong's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.8-mph over the course of the season to 102.6-mph of late.. Despite posting a .206 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Connor Wong has been unlucky given the .091 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .297.. Checking in at the 82nd percentile, Connor Wong sits with a .316 BABIP since the start of last season.

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 10th-best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Petco Park grades out as the #7 field in baseball for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all stadiums, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable pitching weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jarren Duran today.. Jarren Duran's exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 92.7-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 88.4-mph in the past 7 days.