Houston @ New York props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 4th-worst field in baseball for righty BABIP. In the majors, Yankee Stadium's centerfield dimensions are the 6th-deepest. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense. Extreme groundball batters like Jeremy Pena tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Max Fried. Jeremy Pena will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 88°. Hitting from the opposite that Jason Alexander throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an edge today. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 88°. Jesus Sanchez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.4-mph to 95.4-mph in the last week's worth of games. Jesus Sanchez has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .321 mark is a fair amount lower than his .345 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 88°. Hitting from the opposite that Jason Alexander throws from, Ryan McMahon will have the upper hand today. The Houston Astros outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Ryan McMahon will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Over the last two weeks, Ryan McMahon's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.8-mph over the course of the season to 98.3-mph recently.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 88°. Batting from the opposite that Jason Alexander throws from, Austin Wells will have an advantage in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Austin Wells tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jason Alexander. The Houston Astros outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage in today's game.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 88°. The Houston Astros outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Giancarlo Stanton will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Ben Rice ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ben Rice is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 88°. Ben Rice will hold the platoon advantage over Jason Alexander in today's game. Ben Rice pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 88°. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Jasson Dominguez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Jason Alexander today. The Houston Astros outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jasson Dominguez will hold that advantage in today's game.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 88°. Cooper Hummel has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .268 figure is quite a bit lower than his .317 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Ranking in the 75th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.28 ft/sec this year, Cooper Hummel is notably toolsy.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 88°. The Houston Astros outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Anthony Volpe will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Anthony Volpe has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101.9-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 93.8-mph.

Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 88°. Extreme flyball batters like Aaron Judge usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jason Alexander. The Houston Astros outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in action today.

Victor Caratini is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 88°. Victor Caratini has notched a .276 batting average this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 88°. Hitting from the opposite that Jason Alexander throws from, Trent Grisham will have an advantage in today's game. The Houston Astros outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Carlos Correa is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 88°. Carlos Correa will hold the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today's game. In the last 14 days, Carlos Correa's 61.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.9%.

Cody Bellinger's batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 88°. Cody Bellinger will have the handedness advantage over Jason Alexander in today's matchup. Cody Bellinger pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Jose Altuve is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 88°. Jose Altuve will have the handedness advantage over Max Fried in today's matchup. There has been a significant improvement in Jose Altuve's launch angle from last season's 14° to 17.1° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 88°. Yainer Diaz will hold the platoon advantage over Max Fried in today's game. Yainer Diaz has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 102.8-mph average in the past week to his seasonal EV of 93.6-mph. Despite posting a .299 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Yainer Diaz has suffered from bad luck given the .030 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .329.

Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 88°. Christian Walker will hold the platoon advantage over Max Fried in today's game. Christian Walker has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 98-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 90.2-mph mark. Despite posting a .301 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Christian Walker has been unlucky given the .028 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .329.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 82nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 88°. Mauricio Dubon will hold the platoon advantage over Max Fried today. Mauricio Dubon has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Compared to last season, Mauricio Dubon has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 12.1% to 20.3% this season.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 88°. Chas McCormick will have the handedness advantage over Max Fried in today's game. Chas McCormick has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Chas McCormick has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.4-mph average to last year's 90.9-mph figure. Last season, Chas McCormick had an average launch angle of 15.6° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 24°.