Houston @ New York picks

Carlos Correa has recorded 2+ total bases in six of his last seven games while hitting an absurd .406 since rejoining the Astros at the trade deadline. He’s been feasting on left-handed pitching with an .847 OPS this season (.695 vs. RHP), and I like today’s matchup against Yankees starter Max Fried.

Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Aaron Judge is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. In the league, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 88°.. Extreme flyball batters like Aaron Judge usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jason Alexander.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Ben Rice ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. In the league, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 90°.. Ben Rice will hold the platoon advantage over Jason Alexander in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Giancarlo Stanton as baseball's 5th-best home run batter.. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. In the league, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 90°.. Giancarlo Stanton has strong power (99th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (29.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jason Alexander has a pitch-to-contact profile (13th percentile K%) — great news for Stanton.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. In the league, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 88°.. Hitting from the opposite that Jason Alexander throws from, Trent Grisham will have an advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. In the league, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 88°.. Hitting from the opposite that Jason Alexander throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an edge today.

Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Aaron Judge is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. In the league, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 89°.. Extreme flyball batters like Aaron Judge usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jason Alexander.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Jason Alexander in the 22nd percentile when assessing his overall pitching talent level.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jason Alexander to throw 83 pitches in today's game (6th-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. The New York Yankees projected offense grades out as the best of all teams today in terms of overall offensive skill.. In the league, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 90°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. In the league, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 90°.. Hitting from the opposite that Jason Alexander throws from, Trent Grisham will have an advantage in today's game.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. In the league, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 90°.. Jesus Sanchez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.4-mph to 95.4-mph in the last week's worth of games.. When it comes to his home runs, Jesus Sanchez has been unlucky this year. His 16.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been considerably lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 25.9.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. In the league, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 89°.. Hitting from the opposite that Jason Alexander throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an edge today.