Cleveland @ New York picks
Citi Field
CLE vs NYM Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Francisco Lindor o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. In MLB, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage today.. Francisco Lindor's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, going from 15.5% on the season to 32.3% in the last 14 days.
Total RBIs

Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. In MLB, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest.. Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Juan Soto will have an edge today.. Juan Soto will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 16th-best hitter in baseball.. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. In MLB, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest.. Pete Alonso will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.. Pete Alonso has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 13.2% rate last year to 20.5% this year.
Total RBIs

Jose Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Jose Ramirez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against David Peterson today.. Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball hitters like Jose Ramirez generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like David Peterson.
Total Bases

Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 16th-best hitter in baseball.. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. In MLB, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest.. Pete Alonso will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.. Pete Alonso has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 13.2% rate last year to 20.5% this year.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Austin Hedges o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 1.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Austin Hedges will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's game.. Austin Hedges pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams today.. Austin Hedges has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.3-mph average to last season's 88.4-mph figure.. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Austin Hedges ranks in the 97th percentile with a 23° launch angle, which is one of the most flyball-inducing angles in the league.
Total Bases

Jose Ramirez o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Jose Ramirez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against David Peterson today.. Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball hitters like Jose Ramirez generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like David Peterson.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Cedric Mullins o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-165)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
In MLB, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest.. Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Cedric Mullins will have an edge today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Cedric Mullins will hold that advantage today.. Last year, Cedric Mullins had an average launch angle of 12.5° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 16.4°.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Nolan Jones o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Nolan Jones has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams today.. Nolan Jones has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .278 rate is considerably lower than his .313 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Brett Baty o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Brett Baty will have the upper hand today.. Brett Baty has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Brett Baty will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.. Brett Baty has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.1-mph average to last year's 91.3-mph EV.. Brett Baty has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .230 BA is deflated compared to his .270 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.