LIVE Top 3rd Aug 29
STL 3 +125 o9.0
CIN 2 -136 u9.0
LIVE Top 3rd Aug 29
TB 2 -140 o9.0
WAS 1 +129 u9.0
LIVE Top 3rd Aug 29
ATL 1 +173 o9.0
PHI 0 -189 u9.0
LIVE Top 2nd Aug 29
MIL 0 +122 o8.0
TOR 0 -132 u8.0
LIVE Bottom 1st Aug 29
SEA 4 -153 o7.5
CLE 0 +140 u7.5
LIVE Top 2nd Aug 29
PIT 0 +103 o7.5
BOS 0 -112 u7.5
LIVE Bottom 1st Aug 29
MIA 0 +153 o8.0
NYM 2 -167 u8.0
NYY -210 o8.5
CHW +190 u8.5
LAA +137 o9.0
HOU -149 u9.0
DET +101 o9.0
KC -109 u9.0
SD -119 o9.0
MIN +110 u9.0
CHC -202 o11.0
COL +183 u11.0
TEX +133 o10.0
ATH -144 u10.0
AZ +187 o8.5
LAD -206 u8.5
BAL +128 o7.5
SF -139 u7.5

Cincinnati @ Chicago props

Wrigley Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jake Fraley Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Jake Fraley
J. Fraley
right outfield RF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jake Fraley will hold the platoon advantage against Cade Horton in today's game. Jake Fraley has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 6.1% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the last two weeks. Jake Fraley's launch angle this year (19.2°) is a significant increase over his 10.9° mark last season.

Jake Fraley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jake Fraley will hold the platoon advantage against Cade Horton in today's game. Jake Fraley has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 6.1% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the last two weeks. Jake Fraley's launch angle this year (19.2°) is a significant increase over his 10.9° mark last season.

Ke'Bryan Hayes Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Ke'Bryan Hayes
K. Hayes
third base 3B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ke'Bryan Hayes's launch angle recently (15.6° over the last week) is considerably higher than his 8.8° seasonal mark. Last season, Ke'Bryan Hayes had an average launch angle of 2.6° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 5.8°.

Ke'Bryan Hayes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ke'Bryan Hayes's launch angle recently (15.6° over the last week) is considerably higher than his 8.8° seasonal mark. Last season, Ke'Bryan Hayes had an average launch angle of 2.6° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 5.8°.

Matt McLain Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Matt McLain
M. McLain
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Matt McLain is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Despite posting a .289 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Matt McLain has been unlucky given the .033 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .322.

Matt McLain

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Matt McLain is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Despite posting a .289 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Matt McLain has been unlucky given the .033 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .322.

Nico Hoerner Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Nico Hoerner
N. Hoerner
second base 2B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Wrigley Field as the 7th-worst park in the majors for righty batting average. Nico Hoerner has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Nico Hoerner's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 86.7 mph to 84.2 mph. Compared to his seasonal figure of 12.8°, Nico Hoerner has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5.7°) over the past 14 days. Nico Hoerner has been cold of late, putting up a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) over the past 7 days.

Nico Hoerner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Wrigley Field as the 7th-worst park in the majors for righty batting average. Nico Hoerner has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Nico Hoerner's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 86.7 mph to 84.2 mph. Compared to his seasonal figure of 12.8°, Nico Hoerner has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5.7°) over the past 14 days. Nico Hoerner has been cold of late, putting up a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) over the past 7 days.

Kyle Tucker Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Kyle Tucker
K. Tucker
right outfield RF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 8th-best hitter in MLB. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Kyle Tucker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 8th-best hitter in MLB. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Ian Happ Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Ian Happ
I. Happ
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Ian Happ ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In MLB, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Ian Happ

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Ian Happ ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In MLB, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Pete Crow-Armstrong Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Pete Crow-Armstrong
P. Crow-Armstrong
center outfield CF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Pete Crow-Armstrong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Tyler Stephenson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Tyler Stephenson
T. Stephenson
catcher C • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Tyler Stephenson has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97.6-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 91.6-mph figure. Tyler Stephenson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 14% to 21.8%.

Tyler Stephenson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Tyler Stephenson has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97.6-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 91.6-mph figure. Tyler Stephenson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 14% to 21.8%.

Austin Hays Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Austin Hays
A. Hays
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Austin Hays is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Austin Hays pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Sporting a .315 BABIP this year, Austin Hays finds himself in the 75th percentile.

Austin Hays

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Austin Hays is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Austin Hays pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Sporting a .315 BABIP this year, Austin Hays finds himself in the 75th percentile.

Carson Kelly Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Carson Kelly
C. Kelly
catcher C • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Carson Kelly is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. In MLB, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Carson Kelly will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Abbott today.

Carson Kelly

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Carson Kelly is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. In MLB, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Carson Kelly will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Abbott today.

Elly De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Elly De La Cruz
E. De La Cruz
shortstop SS • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When assessing his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Cade Horton in today's matchup.

Elly De La Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Cade Horton in today's matchup.

Spencer Steer Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Spencer Steer
S. Steer
first base 1B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Spencer Steer is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (36.5% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Spencer Steer has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 5.5% seasonal rate to 15.4% over the past week.

Spencer Steer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Spencer Steer is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (36.5% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Spencer Steer has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 5.5% seasonal rate to 15.4% over the past week.

Noelvi Marte Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Noelvi Marte
N. Marte
third base 3B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Noelvi Marte's batting average ability is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In MLB, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Noelvi Marte has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 89.7-mph average to last season's 87-mph figure.

Noelvi Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Noelvi Marte's batting average ability is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In MLB, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Noelvi Marte has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 89.7-mph average to last season's 87-mph figure.

Gavin Lux Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Gavin Lux
G. Lux
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Gavin Lux is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Gavin Lux will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Horton today.

Gavin Lux

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Gavin Lux is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Gavin Lux will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Horton today.

Dansby Swanson Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Dansby Swanson
D. Swanson
shortstop SS • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In MLB, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Dansby Swanson will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's game.

Dansby Swanson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In MLB, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Dansby Swanson will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's game.

TJ Friedl Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

TJ Friedl
T. Friedl
center outfield CF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). TJ Friedl will hold the platoon advantage against Cade Horton today. TJ Friedl has exhibited impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile with a 1.34 K/BB rate.

TJ Friedl

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). TJ Friedl will hold the platoon advantage against Cade Horton today. TJ Friedl has exhibited impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile with a 1.34 K/BB rate.

Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Willi Castro
W. Castro
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Willi Castro pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Willi Castro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Willi Castro pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Seiya Suzuki Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Seiya Suzuki
S. Suzuki
right outfield RF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Seiya Suzuki projects as the 18th-best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. In MLB, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Seiya Suzuki

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Seiya Suzuki projects as the 18th-best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. In MLB, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Justin Turner
J. Turner
first base 1B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Justin Turner is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. In MLB, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Justin Turner will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Justin Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Justin Turner is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. In MLB, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Justin Turner will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Matt Shaw Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Matt Shaw
M. Shaw
third base 3B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Matt Shaw will have an advantage in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Matt Shaw will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Matt Shaw

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Matt Shaw will have an advantage in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Matt Shaw will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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// Scripts for MLB A/B test