Cincinnati @ Chicago Picks & Props

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jake Fraley will hold the platoon advantage against Cade Horton in today's game. Jake Fraley has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 6.1% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the last two weeks. Jake Fraley's launch angle this year (19.2°) is a significant increase over his 10.9° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ke'Bryan Hayes's launch angle recently (15.6° over the last week) is considerably higher than his 8.8° seasonal mark. Last season, Ke'Bryan Hayes had an average launch angle of 2.6° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 5.8°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Matt McLain is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Despite posting a .289 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Matt McLain has been unlucky given the .033 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .322.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Wrigley Field as the 7th-worst park in the majors for righty batting average. Nico Hoerner has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Nico Hoerner's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 86.7 mph to 84.2 mph. Compared to his seasonal figure of 12.8°, Nico Hoerner has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5.7°) over the past 14 days. Nico Hoerner has been cold of late, putting up a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) over the past 7 days.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 8th-best hitter in MLB. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Ian Happ ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In MLB, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Tyler Stephenson has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97.6-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 91.6-mph figure. Tyler Stephenson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 14% to 21.8%.

Austin Hays is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Austin Hays pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Sporting a .315 BABIP this year, Austin Hays finds himself in the 75th percentile.

Carson Kelly is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. In MLB, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Carson Kelly will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Abbott today.

When assessing his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Cade Horton in today's matchup.

Spencer Steer is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (36.5% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Spencer Steer has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 5.5% seasonal rate to 15.4% over the past week.

Noelvi Marte's batting average ability is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In MLB, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Noelvi Marte has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 89.7-mph average to last season's 87-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Gavin Lux is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Gavin Lux will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Horton today.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In MLB, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Dansby Swanson will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's game.

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). TJ Friedl will hold the platoon advantage against Cade Horton today. TJ Friedl has exhibited impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile with a 1.34 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Willi Castro pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Seiya Suzuki projects as the 18th-best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. In MLB, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Justin Turner is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. In MLB, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Justin Turner will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Matt Shaw will have an advantage in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Matt Shaw will hold that advantage in today's matchup.