Baltimore @ Philadelphia picks

Kyle Schwarber is raking against everyone right now; it doesn’t matter if they’re a left-hander or right-hander. But 24 of his long balls are off righties, and Orioles RHP Dean Kremer has surrendered 17 long balls already this season, including three over his last two outings. 

At Camden Yards, the righty has dominated, going 5-2 in nine appearances with a 2.89 ERA. On the road, his ERA sits at 5.37 across 12 starts, with opponents hitting .294. He’s been a completely different pitcher away from home. Kremer has cashed the Over in earned runs allowed in two of his last five outings, but he also gave up three earned runs last time out against the Blue Jays. Before that, the Rockies tagged him for five earned runs. 

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Tyler O'Neill as baseball's 12th-best home run hitter.. Tyler O'Neill is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Tyler O'Neill has a ton of pop (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (28% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Taijuan Walker doesn't generate many whiffs (18th percentile K%) — great news for O'Neill.. Tyler O'Neill pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Colton Cowser will hold the platoon advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's matchup.. Colton Cowser has a ton of pop (89th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (29.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Taijuan Walker is a pitch-to-contact type (10th percentile K%) — great news for Cowser.. Colton Cowser has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

Edmundo Sosa's BABIP ability is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Edmundo Sosa will hold that advantage in today's game.. Sporting a .430 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Edmundo Sosa grades out in the 77th percentile.

HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.. Coby Mayo is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Philadelphia (#2-worst of the day).. Coby Mayo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, going from 12.5% on the season to 21.7% in the last two weeks.

HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage against Dean Kremer today.. Max Kepler will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Max Kepler has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.1-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 90.9-mph average.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 17th-best batter in the majors.. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Gunnar Henderson will hold the platoon advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. J.T. Realmuto has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (60% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. J.T. Realmuto will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Jackson Holliday is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Jackson Holliday will hold the platoon advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's game.. Jackson Holliday has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jordan Westburg ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jordan Westburg is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Among all the teams in action today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Tyler O'Neill as baseball's 12th-best home run hitter.. Tyler O'Neill is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Tyler O'Neill has a ton of pop (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (28% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Taijuan Walker doesn't generate many whiffs (18th percentile K%) — great news for O'Neill.. Tyler O'Neill pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.