Toronto @ Colorado Picks & Props

When starting against a northpaw this year, Addison Barger has been pinch hit for 11% of the time. Addison Barger will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Addison Barger has been lucky this year, posting a .344 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .319 — a .025 gap. As it relates to plate discipline, Addison Barger's skill is quite weak, putting up a 3.41 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 25th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate at 94°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ty France's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 41.6% to 48.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate at 94°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Thairo Estrada will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Over the last 14 days, Thairo Estrada has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 17.9° compared to his seasonal mark of 13.4°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate at 94°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Orlando Arcia will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Orlando Arcia has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 2.6% seasonal rate to 8.3% in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate at 94°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Warming Bernabel will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Warming Bernabel has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 95.3-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal figure of 90.3-mph.

17% of the time that Nathan Lukes has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter. Nathan Lukes will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Nathan Lukes has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.4-mph dropping to 83-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games. Nathan Lukes's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off recently, going from 41.8% on the season to 19% in the last two weeks. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nathan Lukes's true offensive talent to be a .311, providing some evidence that he has been very fortunate this year given the .021 disparity between that mark and his actual .332 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best hitter in the league when estimating his batting average talent. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate at 94°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Alejandro Kirk is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate at 94°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Jordan Beck's BABIP ability is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jordan Beck is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate at 94°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate at 94°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Brenton Doyle will hold that advantage in today's game.

Ernie Clement is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today's game. Ernie Clement will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Freeland in today's game. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ernie Clement in today's matchup. Ernie Clement's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 88.6-mph seasonal average has lowered to 85.8-mph in the past 7 days. In the past week's worth of games, Ernie Clement's 5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 6th-best batter in Major League Baseball when estimating his batting average skill. Bo Bichette is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate at 94°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Mickey Moniak is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The #1 field in MLB for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate at 94°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Mickey Moniak will have the handedness advantage against Jose Berrios in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The #1 field in MLB for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate at 94°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the same side that Kyle Freeland throws from, Joey Loperfido meets a tough challenge in today's matchup.

The #1 field in MLB for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate at 94°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the same side that Kyle Freeland throws from, Daulton Varsho encounters a tough challenge today. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 24th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Jose Berrios will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Goodman today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.291) implies that Hunter Goodman has had some very good luck this year with his .360 actual wOBA. By putting up a 5.02 K/BB rate this year, Hunter Goodman has shown poor plate discipline, checking in at the 8th percentile.

Jose Berrios will hold the platoon advantage against Ezequiel Tovar today.

Batting from the same side that Jose Berrios throws from, Tyler Freeman will have a tough matchup in today's game. Over the past 7 days, Tyler Freeman's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 89.2 mph to 84.8 mph. Tyler Freeman's launch angle this season (8.7°) is a significant dropoff from his 12.9° mark last year. Over the past two weeks, Tyler Freeman's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (-0.6°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 4.7°. Despite posting a .353 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Tyler Freeman has experienced some positive variance given the .024 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .329.