St. Louis @ Los Angeles picks

We fade Miles Mikolas again as the Cardinals tangle with the Dodgers on Tuesday night. Mikolas was hit hard in the month of July, and the Dodgers' offense is one with few holes in the batting order. I'll take them at home to cover the run line. 

Freddie Freeman has two bombs in his last four games and just went deep on Monday against the St. Louis Cardinals. Tonight, the Cards hand Miles Mikolas the ball, and Freeman has made his life a nightmare in the past, going 9-for-20 with three HRs.

Miles Mikolas owns a 43% hard hit rate and a 35.5% flyball rate against lefties. Those outputs are much higher than against right-handed bats. Unsurprisingly, that's translated to more homers. Mikolas has allowed 1.67 homers per nine innings against left-handed bats compared to 1.31 per nine vs. righties. Mikolas likes to mix it up, throwing four different pitches at least 17% of the time against lefties. Shohei Ohtani excels against each pitch. He’s hit at least four homers against all four, with his lowest ISO of the bunch coming in at .256.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Miles Mikolas in the 11th percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.. Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Miles Mikolas is projected to throw 78 pitches in this game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-least of all pitchers on the slate.. Adrian Johnson grades out as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be behind the plate in today's game.. Dodger Stadium projects as the #24 stadium in baseball for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today.

Jordan Walker's BABIP talent is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #1 field in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. Dodger Stadium has the shortest fence height (on average) in MLB.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today.. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Willson Contreras is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #1 field in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. The 9th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league are found in Dodger Stadium.. Dodger Stadium has the shortest fence height (on average) in MLB.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. The #1 field in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. The 9th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league are found in Dodger Stadium.. Dodger Stadium has the shortest fence height (on average) in MLB.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The #1 field in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. The 9th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league are found in Dodger Stadium.. Dodger Stadium has the shortest fence height (on average) in MLB.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Mookie Betts is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. The #1 field in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. Dodger Stadium has the shortest fence height (on average) in MLB.. Mookie Betts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Alec Burleson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Dodger Stadium grades out as the #1 ballpark in baseball for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dodger Stadium has the shortest fence height (on average) in MLB.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the slate today.

When it comes to his home run talent, Max Muncy ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Max Muncy is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. Dodger Stadium grades out as the #1 ballpark in baseball for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dodger Stadium has the shortest fence height (on average) in MLB.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nolan Gorman as the majors's 20th-best home run batter.. Dodger Stadium grades out as the #1 ballpark in baseball for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dodger Stadium has the shortest fence height (on average) in MLB.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today.. Nolan Gorman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Emmet Sheehan in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.. Dodger Stadium grades out as the #1 ballpark in baseball for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dodger Stadium has the shortest fence height (on average) in MLB.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today.