New York @ Texas picks
Globe Life Field
NYY vs TEX Picks
MLB Picks
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Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Yankees and Rangers send polar opposite lineups to the dish against lefties, with the Bronx Bombers pacing the majors in wOBA and the Rangers ranking second last. There’s also no comparison between the New York ace Max Fried and Texas veteran Patrick Corbin. Of course, the elephant in the room is New York superstar Aaron Judge (elbow) remains out, but I still like the Yankees to put runs on the board against Corbin.
Earned Runs Allowed


Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Total RBIs

Jazz Chisholm Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his home run talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 10% rate last season to 18.5% this year.. Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 15.3% to 22.9%.. Utilizing Statcast data, Jazz Chisholm Jr. is in the 86th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .351.
Total RBIs

Trent Grisham o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run ability, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. In the last 7 days, Trent Grisham's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.6% up to 23.1%.. Trent Grisham has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.5-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 90.6-mph EV.
Total RBIs

Giancarlo Stanton o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Giancarlo Stanton as MLB's 5th-best home run hitter.. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Giancarlo Stanton will have an advantage in today's game.. Giancarlo Stanton has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.3-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 93.8-mph average.
Total RBIs

Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Corey Seager projects as the 7th-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corey Seager is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Among all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Corey Seager will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases

Trent Grisham o0.5 Total Bases (-170)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run ability, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. In the last 7 days, Trent Grisham's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.6% up to 23.1%.. Trent Grisham has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.5-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 90.6-mph EV.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+120)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his home run talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 10% rate last season to 18.5% this year.. Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 15.3% to 22.9%.. Utilizing Statcast data, Jazz Chisholm Jr. is in the 86th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .351.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Ryan McMahon o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 86th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. In the past 14 days, Ryan McMahon's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.8-mph over the course of the season to 98.5-mph in recent games.. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.1°, Ryan McMahon has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 25.8° mark in the past week's worth of games.. Ryan McMahon's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 15.1% to 18.4%.
Total Bases

Giancarlo Stanton o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Giancarlo Stanton as MLB's 5th-best home run hitter.. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Giancarlo Stanton will have an advantage in today's game.. Giancarlo Stanton has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.3-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 93.8-mph average.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Giancarlo Stanton o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Giancarlo Stanton as MLB's 5th-best home run hitter.. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Giancarlo Stanton will have an advantage in today's game.. Giancarlo Stanton has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.3-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 93.8-mph average.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Trent Grisham o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run ability, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. In the last 7 days, Trent Grisham's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.6% up to 23.1%.. Trent Grisham has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.5-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 90.6-mph EV.