Cincinnati @ Chicago props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Wrigley Field as the 7th-worst ballpark in MLB for right-handed batting average. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Nico Hoerner has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game. Over the past two weeks, Nico Hoerner's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 86.6 mph to 82.3 mph.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Busch is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Among every team on the slate today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Michael Busch will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Mike Soroka throws from, Jake Fraley will have an advantage today. Jake Fraley's launch angle this year (18.6°) is considerably higher than his 10.9° angle last season. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.6°, Jake Fraley has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 22.5° figure over the past 14 days. With a 1.62 K/BB rate this year, Jake Fraley has demonstrated strong plate discipline, ranking in the 87th percentile.

Kyle Tucker projects as the 8th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Among every team on the slate today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Kyle Tucker will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Among every team on the slate today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold that advantage in today's game.

The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Justin Turner will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo today. Among every team on the slate today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Justin Turner will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Dansby Swanson will have an advantage today. Among every team on the slate today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

Austin Hays is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Austin Hays pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Austin Hays has compiled a .323 BABIP this year, ranking in the 79th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 18th-best batter in MLB. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have an edge in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best hitter in the league as it relates to his BABIP talent. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Mike Soroka. Elly De La Cruz has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Matt McLain is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Matt McLain has been unlucky this year, posting a .291 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .322 — a .031 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Willi Castro is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Willi Castro pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Tyler Stephenson has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 100.1-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 91.3-mph figure. Tyler Stephenson has compiled a .351 BABIP this year, checking in at the 91st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Gavin Lux is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Gavin Lux will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mike Soroka in today's game. Gavin Lux's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 12.7% to 16%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Last season, Ke'Bryan Hayes had an average launch angle of 2.6° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 5.7°. Ke'Bryan Hayes has been unlucky this year, putting up a .255 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .293 — a .038 gap.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Ian Happ ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Among every team on the slate today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Ian Happ will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Noelvi Marte's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 45% on the season to 56.3% in the past two weeks. Placing in the 77th percentile, Noelvi Marte sits with a .264 batting average this year.

Carson Kelly is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Carson Kelly will have an edge in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. In the past week, Spencer Steer's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.6% up to 15.4%. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.7°, Spencer Steer has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 22.8° angle in the past two weeks' worth of games. Last year, Spencer Steer had an average launch angle of 11.5° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 16.2°.

TJ Friedl is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. TJ Friedl will have the handedness advantage against Mike Soroka in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.1°, TJ Friedl has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 29.4° figure over the past two weeks. Sporting a 1.29 K/BB rate this year, TJ Friedl has shown strong plate discipline, checking in at the 94th percentile.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Matt Shaw will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Lodolo in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Matt Shaw will hold that advantage today. Matt Shaw has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 86.3-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 83.8-mph average.