St. Louis @ San Diego Picks & Props

Among all stadiums, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Victor Scott II will have an advantage today. Among all the teams today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Lars Nootbaar will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease in today's matchup. Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.3% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among all the teams today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres.

The #8 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. The weather report expects the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 87.9-mph mark last year has dropped off to 85.7-mph. Compared to his seasonal figure of 12.5°, Luis Arraez has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (6.4°) in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 8th-worst ballpark in the game for RHB base hits. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. The weather report expects the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the same side that Andre Pallante throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have a tough matchup today. In the last week, Fernando Tatis Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.8% down to 0%.

Thomas Saggese's BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all the teams today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. Over the past 7 days, Thomas Saggese's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.2% up to 16.7%. In the last 7 days, Thomas Saggese's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.8-mph over the course of the season to 95.2-mph of late. In the past week, Thomas Saggese's 50% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 26.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 8th-worst ballpark in the game for RHB base hits. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. The weather report expects the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Andre Pallante will have the handedness advantage over Manny Machado in today's game. Manny Machado's launch angle lately (5.3° in the past week) is significantly worse than his 14.5° seasonal angle.

Among all stadiums, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Among all the teams today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. Yohel Pozo has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.4-mph to 93-mph in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Ivan Herrera is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Among all the teams today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. With a .373 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ivan Herrera grades out in the 91st percentile. With a .298 batting average this year, Ivan Herrera has performed in the 94th percentile.

Alec Burleson's batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Alec Burleson will have an edge today. Alec Burleson hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Among all the teams today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. Jordan Walker has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.8-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 92.1-mph average. Jordan Walker has been unlucky this year, posting a .270 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .307 — a .037 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. Among all stadiums, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Brendan Donovan will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease in today's game. Among all the teams today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Among all stadiums, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Ramon Laureano will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Ramon Laureano has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 12.1% seasonal rate to 25.8% in the last 14 days. Ramon Laureano has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph to 94.9-mph in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Masyn Winn is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Among all stadiums, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Among all the teams today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. Masyn Winn's launch angle this season (16.3°) is significantly better than his 13° mark last year.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Willson Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Among all stadiums, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Among all the teams today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. Willson Contreras has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.3-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 90.5-mph EV.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Among all stadiums, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Jake Cronenworth will have the handedness advantage against Andre Pallante in today's game. Jake Cronenworth is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals has just 1 same-handed RP. Jake Cronenworth will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Nolan Gorman is penciled in 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an advantage today. Among all the teams today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. This year, the hardest ball Nolan Gorman has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 111.6 mph (a reliable metric to measure power), checking in at the 75th percentile.

Xander Bogaerts's batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Xander Bogaerts hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Xander Bogaerts will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Xander Bogaerts has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 6.6% seasonal rate to 20% in the past week's worth of games.

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all stadiums, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an edge in today's matchup. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ryan O'Hearn stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Ryan O'Hearn will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jackson Merrill's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Jackson Merrill will hold the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in today's game. Jackson Merrill is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals only has 1 same-handed RP. Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.