Detroit @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Batting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, Bryson Stott will have an advantage today. Bryson Stott has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 7th-worst park in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which generally leads to less offense. Low humidity has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report expects the 4th-lowest humidity on the slate at 38%. Hitting from the same side that Charlie Morton throws from, Trea Turner will have a tough challenge in today's game. Trea Turner has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.4% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past week.

When assessing his BABIP skill, Riley Greene is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Riley Greene has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the worst out of every team today. Riley Greene's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 17.9% to 21.7%.

Wenceel Perez pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the worst out of every team today. Compared to last year, Wenceel Perez has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 14.1% to 21.6% this season. Wenceel Perez has notched a .329 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 75th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Edmundo Sosa will hold that advantage in today's game. Ranking in the 96th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.45 ft/sec this year, Edmundo Sosa is quite fast.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Spencer Torkelson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup. Spencer Torkelson pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.8% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Spencer Torkelson tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez.

Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Max Kepler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Charlie Morton in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Max Kepler has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 6.2% rate last year to 11.9% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Gleyber Torres will have the upper hand today. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the worst out of every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Matt Vierling has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (55% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Matt Vierling will have an advantage in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the worst out of every team today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 12th-best hitter in MLB. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Bryce Harper will hold the platoon advantage against Charlie Morton in today's game. Bryce Harper has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.

Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Javier Baez will have the upper hand in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the worst out of every team today. Javier Baez has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph to 93.9-mph in the past week's worth of games. By putting up a .327 BABIP this year, Javier Baez has performed in the 85th percentile.

Jahmai Jones is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Jahmai Jones will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez today. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the worst out of every team today. Jahmai Jones's footspeed has increased this year. His 27.58 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.17 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage in today's game.

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an edge in today's game. Brandon Marsh has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Brandon Marsh will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage today.

Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Dillon Dingler will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the worst out of every team today. Dillon Dingler's launch angle of late (24.1° over the last 14 days) is significantly higher than his 17.7° seasonal mark. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Dillon Dingler ranks in the 82nd percentile with a 17.7° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in the majors.

Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Andy Ibanez will have the upper hand today. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the worst out of every team today. Compared to last season, Andy Ibanez has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 14.7% to 17.8% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Kemp in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Otto Kemp will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Otto Kemp has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 12.9% seasonal rate to 27.3% in the last week's worth of games.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 15th-best hitter in MLB. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Hitting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an edge in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.