Texas @ Seattle Picks & Props

Jonah Heim pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.2% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 11.1% to 15%. Over the past 7 days, Jonah Heim's 56.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.1%.

Evan Carter is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. Batting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Evan Carter will have an edge in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cole Young in the 76th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Batting from the opposite that Jack Leiter throws from, Cole Young will have an advantage today. Cole Young pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Cole Young will hold that advantage in today's matchup. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Cole Young has suffered from bad luck this year. His .293 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .321.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Wyatt Langford pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.1% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Wyatt Langford has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 93.6-mph in the last week's worth of games. In the last week's worth of games, Wyatt Langford's 68.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41%.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Adolis Garcia has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Adolis Garcia's launch angle this year (18.2°) is considerably higher than his 14.8° angle last year.

Josh Smith is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. Batting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Josh Smith will have an edge today. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Josh Smith has shown good plate discipline this year, grading out in the 78th percentile with a 1.75 K/BB rate.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Joc Pederson ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Joc Pederson will have an edge in today's matchup. Joc Pederson pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. In terms of his batting average, Joc Pederson has been unlucky this year. His .120 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .194.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Batting from the opposite that Jack Leiter throws from, J.P. Crawford will have an advantage in today's game. J.P. Crawford has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and J.P. Crawford will hold that advantage in today's matchup. J.P. Crawford has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .265 mark is quite a bit lower than his .282 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best batter in MLB when it comes to his BABIP ability. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last week's worth of games, Julio Rodriguez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.1% up to 23.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. Randy Arozarena will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Randy Arozarena has put up a .370 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 90th percentile.

Corey Seager projects as the 7th-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Corey Seager is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. Batting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Corey Seager will have an edge in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Marcus Semien is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Marcus Semien pulls many of his flyballs (38.1% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Marcus Semien's launch angle this year (20°) is a considerable increase over his 16.7° mark last year.

Jorge Polanco pulls many of his flyballs (39% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage in today's matchup. When it comes to plate discipline, Jorge Polanco's talent is quite impressive, sporting a 1.6 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 83rd percentile.

Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. Dominic Canzone will have the handedness advantage over Jack Leiter in today's game. Dominic Canzone will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Dominic Canzone has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.3-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 92.3-mph figure. Placing in the 93rd percentile, Dominic Canzone has posted a .297 batting average this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.9% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Cal Raleigh will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. This season, Cal Raleigh has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.9 mph compared to last year's 94.9 mph mark.

Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. Rowdy Tellez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Rowdy Tellez has made significant gains with his Barrel%, improving his 8.1% rate last year to 15.2% this year. Rowdy Tellez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 12% to 17.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (39% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Eugenio Suarez has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 14.9% seasonal rate to 25% in the last two weeks.

Josh Jung's BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Josh Jung has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Josh Jung has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.1-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 88.1-mph average. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.313) provides evidence that Josh Jung has had some very poor luck this year with his .299 actual wOBA.

Kyle Higashioka has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.