Atlanta @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

Typically, hitters like Elly De La Cruz who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Bryce Elder. The Atlanta Braves outfield defense profiles as the 5th-best among every team in action today. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Elly De La Cruz's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.5% down to 6.3%. Elly De La Cruz's exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 93.8-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 81-mph over the past 14 days. Elly De La Cruz has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .363 mark is a fair amount higher than his .326 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best park in the majors for righty batting average. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Nick Allen has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

Brady Singer will have the handedness advantage against Austin Riley in today's matchup... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Singer's large platoon split. Austin Riley will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. As it relates to plate discipline, Austin Riley's ability is quite bad, sporting a 4.52 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 12th percentile.

Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Ozzie Albies pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.6% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Ozzie Albies's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (17.2°) is a considerable increase over his 14.2° figure last year. Despite posting a .285 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ozzie Albies has been unlucky given the .033 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .318.

Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Hitting from the opposite that Bryce Elder throws from, Jake Fraley will have an advantage in today's matchup. Jake Fraley pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Jake Fraley will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Michael Harris II will hold the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's matchup... and moreover, Singer has a large platoon split. Michael Harris II has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Jurickson Profar pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.1% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jurickson Profar's launch angle of late (22° in the last two weeks) is considerably better than his 18.6° seasonal angle.

Gavin Lux's BABIP skill is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gavin Lux is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest RF fences in the league. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today.

Spencer Steer is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best park in the majors for righty batting average. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Spencer Steer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball hitters like Spencer Steer tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Bryce Elder.

Drake Baldwin is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest RF fences in the league. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Drake Baldwin will hold the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's game... and moreover, Singer has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best park in the majors for righty batting average. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Marcell Ozuna pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best park in the majors for righty batting average. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Jose Trevino pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jose Trevino will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best park in the majors for righty batting average. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Ke'Bryan Hayes will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Ke'Bryan Hayes's launch angle this year (8.8°) is a significant increase over his 4.7° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Matt McLain is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best park in the majors for righty batting average. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Matt McLain has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Considering Brady Singer's large platoon split, Matt Olson will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best park in the majors for righty batting average. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Sean Murphy pulls many of his flyballs (37.3% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Grading out in the 85th percentile, Sean Murphy has put up a .358 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best park in the majors for righty batting average. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Tyler Stephenson has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Tyler Stephenson will hold that advantage today.

Austin Hays is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best park in the majors for righty batting average. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Austin Hays pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Austin Hays will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest RF fences in the league. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Bryce Elder throws from, Will Benson will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Will Benson will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Noelvi Marte's batting average skill is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Noelvi Marte is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best park in the majors for righty batting average. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today.

TJ Friedl has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.