Kansas City @ Toronto Picks & Props

The 11th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, John Rave will have an edge today. John Rave has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 100-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 90.2-mph figure. John Rave has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .276 mark is a good deal lower than his .306 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Rogers Centre ranks as the #25 field in baseball for righty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This matchup is projected to have the 5th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the same side that Michael Wacha throws from, Bo Bichette encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup. In the past 14 days, Bo Bichette's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.4% down to 1.9%. Bo Bichette's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 92.3-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 88.6-mph in the past 7 days.

Rogers Centre ranks as the #25 field in baseball for righty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This matchup is projected to have the 5th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the same side that Kevin Gausman throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. has a tough challenge in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bobby Witt Jr. in today's matchup. Over the last two weeks, Bobby Witt Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.5% down to 5.9%.

The 11th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Kyle Isbel will have the upper hand today.

The 11th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage over Kevin Gausman in today's matchup. Last season, Adam Frazier had an average launch angle of 11.9° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 16°. In the past two weeks, Adam Frazier has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 26.4° compared to his seasonal mark of 16°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Jonathan India is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. The 11th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. There has been a significant improvement in Jonathan India's launch angle from last season's 13.3° to 16.8° this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jonathan India's true offensive talent to be a .332, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .034 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .298 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Maikel Garcia is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Maikel Garcia hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. In the past week, Maikel Garcia's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.1-mph over the course of the season to 102.5-mph in recent games. Maikel Garcia's launch angle this year (9.8°) is quite a bit better than his 6.2° figure last year.

Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. The 11th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Vinnie Pasquantino will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today. In the past week, Vinnie Pasquantino's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.3% up to 19%. Vinnie Pasquantino's launch angle lately (20.1° over the past 14 days) is significantly higher than his 16.4° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best hitter in baseball when it comes to his batting average talent. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.4-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal mark of 94.6-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Nathan Lukes is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The 11th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Nathan Lukes will hold the platoon advantage over Michael Wacha in today's matchup. Nathan Lukes will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The 11th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Tyler Heineman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The 11th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Ty France will hold that advantage today. Ty France's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 41.6% to 48.7%. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Ty France has been unlucky this year. His .302 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .344.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Randal Grichuk hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.5°, Randal Grichuk has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 22° mark over the past two weeks. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.335) suggests that Randal Grichuk has experienced some negative variance this year with his .310 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Salvador Perez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The 11th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Over the last week, Salvador Perez's 53.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The 11th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Ernie Clement will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Sporting a .273 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Ernie Clement is ranked in the 79th percentile. In notching a .282 batting average this year, Ernie Clement finds himself in the 86th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Joey Loperfido is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 93% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The 11th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Joey Loperfido will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Joey Loperfido will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The 11th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Daulton Varsho will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Wacha in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage in today's game.

Addison Barger is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The 11th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Addison Barger will hold the platoon advantage over Michael Wacha in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Addison Barger will hold that advantage in today's matchup. The Barrel% of Addison Barger has significantly improved, with an increase from 8.8% last year to 14.5% this season.

The 11th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Davis Schneider will hold that advantage today. Davis Schneider has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.5-mph average to last season's 93.1-mph mark. Davis Schneider's launch angle lately (28.7° in the past two weeks) is considerably better than his 23.4° seasonal angle. Last season, Davis Schneider had an average launch angle of 23.4° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 33°.