Kansas City @ Toronto picks

Bichette is 5-for-13 lifetime with a long ball versus Wacha, who has surrendered 11 home runs this season in 21 outings. Seven of those have come on the road, and eight of the round trippers have been off the bat of right-handed hitters. 

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best hitter in baseball when it comes to his batting average talent.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.4-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal mark of 94.6-mph.

Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 3rd-best field in baseball for left-handed home runs.. The 11th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre.. Vinnie Pasquantino will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today.. In the past week, Vinnie Pasquantino's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.3% up to 19%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 89th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 3rd-best park in the majors for right-handed home runs.. Randal Grichuk hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.5°, Randal Grichuk has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 22° mark over the past two weeks.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (33.1) may lead us to conclude that Randal Grichuk has experienced some negative variance this year with his 23.8 actual HR/600.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 11th-best hitter in the majors.. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 3rd-best park in the majors for right-handed home runs.. The 11th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre.. Bobby Witt Jr. has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 19.2 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a fair amount lower than his 25.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best hitter in baseball when it comes to his batting average talent.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 3rd-best park in the majors for right-handed home runs.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

It may be sensible to expect stronger performance for the Kansas City Royals offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 3rd-unluckiest offense in baseball this year.. The #5 park in the game for boosting home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. The 11th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre.. Kevin Gausman's high utilization rate of his fastball (54.2% this year) is likely harming his results, considering they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.. Kevin Gausman has posted a .262 BABIP this year, making him one of the luckiest hurlers in the league on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.

The 11th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre.. Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Kyle Isbel will have the upper hand today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 3rd-best field in baseball for left-handed home runs.. The 11th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre.. Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, John Rave will have an edge today.. John Rave has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 100-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 90.2-mph figure.. John Rave has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .276 mark is a good deal lower than his .306 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 3rd-best field in baseball for left-handed home runs.. The 11th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre.. Vinnie Pasquantino will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today.. In the past week, Vinnie Pasquantino's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.3% up to 19%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best hitter in baseball when it comes to his batting average talent.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.4-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal mark of 94.6-mph.