San Francisco @ New York props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Citi Field has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. In the last week, Jung Hoo Lee's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.4-mph over the course of the season to 100.2-mph of late. Jung Hoo Lee's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, going from 46.7% on the season to 70% in the past week.

Citi Field has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Francisco Alvarez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Robbie Ray in today's matchup. Francisco Alvarez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Francisco Alvarez has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.4-mph average to last season's 88.7-mph average. Francisco Alvarez has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.7-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 95.3-mph.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Matt Chapman ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Matt Chapman will have an advantage in today's game. Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Matt Chapman tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like David Peterson.

Wilmer Flores is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Wilmer Flores will have the handedness advantage against David Peterson in today's game. Wilmer Flores pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Wilmer Flores generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like David Peterson. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Luis Matos will have the handedness advantage over David Peterson in today's matchup. Luis Matos hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences today. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Luis Matos has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.3-mph average to last year's 89.6-mph EV. Luis Matos's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 11.8% to 18.8%.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Rafael Devers has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Rafael Devers has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.9-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 93.4-mph EV.

Pete Alonso projects as the 20th-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Citi Field has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Pete Alonso will hold the platoon advantage over Robbie Ray today. Pete Alonso will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Heliot Ramos ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Heliot Ramos is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. Heliot Ramos will have the handedness advantage against David Peterson today. Heliot Ramos hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Willy Adames is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Willy Adames will have the upper hand today. Willy Adames pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Willy Adames tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like David Peterson.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best hitter in baseball. Juan Soto is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Citi Field has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Juan Soto will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Despite posting a .371 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Juan Soto has experienced some negative variance given the .036 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .407.

Starling Marte's batting average talent is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Starling Marte is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Citi Field has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Starling Marte will have the handedness advantage against Robbie Ray in today's matchup. Starling Marte will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Brandon Nimmo will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Brandon Nimmo's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, rising from 42% on the season to 62.5% over the past 7 days.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Francisco Lindor will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Robbie Ray in today's game. Francisco Lindor pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Citi Field has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage in today's game. Jeff McNeil has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 6% seasonal rate to 11.1% over the last two weeks. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 16.3% to 19.4%. Over the last two weeks, Jeff McNeil's 29.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.4%.

Citi Field has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Patrick Bailey's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, increasing from 39.9% on the season to 57.1% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Despite posting a .248 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Patrick Bailey has experienced some negative variance given the .035 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .283.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Torrens in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Luis Torrens will have an advantage in today's matchup. Luis Torrens hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Luis Torrens will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.349) suggests that Luis Torrens has had some very poor luck this year with his .267 actual wOBA.

Casey Schmitt will have the handedness advantage over David Peterson in today's game. Casey Schmitt pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Casey Schmitt has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph to 94-mph over the last 7 days. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Casey Schmitt grades out in the 79th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .334.

Batting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Tyrone Taylor will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Tyrone Taylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Tyrone Taylor will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Tyrone Taylor's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 13.5% to 18.4%. Tyrone Taylor has been unlucky this year, putting up a .245 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .296 — a .051 deviation.

Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Mark Vientos will have an edge today. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage today. In the past week, Mark Vientos's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.6% up to 18.2%. Mark Vientos has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.3-mph to 96.9-mph in the past 7 days.