Texas @ Seattle picks

The arrow is pointing up for the Rangers, who’ve won seven of their last nine, piling up 52 runs in that span. As this crucial four-game series gets underway, I prefer to roll the dice with the Rangers, who are 28-17 in their last 45 games and eyeing a surge up the AL West standings.

George Kirby boasts a 7-0 record against the Rangers, pitching to a 1.15 ERA in nine starts and allowing just a .532 OPS. Back Seattle to cover the run line against a Rangers team turning to Kumar Rocker, who has struggled mightily this season with a 5.73 ERA. 

Raleigh hasn’t slowed down one bit since lifting the Home Run Derby crown at the All-Star festivities in Atlanta. The MLB’s HR leader is now up to 41 bombs on the season, going deep three times post-All-Star break. He’ll face Kumar Rocker of the Texas Rangers tonight, who owns a 5.73 ERA.

Big Dumper is argubaly the most productive hitter in baseball this season with his 41 home runs and 87 RBIs. He gets a great matchup tonight against a struggling Kumar Rocker who sits in the Bottom 10% in both xERA and xBA.

Garica is one of the few Rangers in tonight's lineup that has good numbers against Mariners starter George Kirby. He's 6-for-20 with a double and a home run, good for a .310 xBA and a .693 xSLG. And despite his low average Garcia has been very productive this season with 62 RBIs, including at least one in three of his last five games. That makes this price stand out in a big way.

Kumar Rocker has given up 29 earned runs across 26+ innings on the road this year which equates to a 9.91 ERA across seven starts. The walks are an issue with a 4.4 BB/9 and the 40 hits allowed are an eye-opener. He’ll face a stronger Seattle offense that should have some added power with the landing of Eugenio Suarez. The last time Rocker pitched in Seattle this year, he lasted just 68 pitches and gave up four runs while striking out just two. His leash is longer of late, and he is 5-2 to the Over on this prop on the road this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best batter in the game as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 4th-shallowest among all parks.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 7th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 4th-shallowest among all parks.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Corey Seager will have an advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all parks.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Adolis Garcia has been unlucky this year, putting up a .286 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .325 — a .039 discrepancy.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 7th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 4th-shallowest among all parks.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Corey Seager will have an advantage today.

Evan Carter is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 4th-shallowest among all parks.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Evan Carter will hold the platoon advantage over George Kirby today.. Out of every team on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

The #2 field in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.. T-Mobile Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for pitchers.. George Kirby will hold the platoon advantage over Adolis Garcia today.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

Wyatt Langford has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (85% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game.. The #2 field in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.. T-Mobile Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Batting from the same side that George Kirby throws from, Wyatt Langford will have a disadvantage today.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Joc Pederson ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Joc Pederson will have an advantage today.. Joc Pederson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Out of every team on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 7th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all parks.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Corey Seager will have an advantage today.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Cole Young will have the handedness advantage against Kumar Rocker in today's matchup.. Cole Young pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Cole Young will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Cole Young has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 7.6 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a fair amount lower than his 16.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.