New York @ San Diego picks

It's been a rocky return to the mound for Yu Darvish. The veteran right-hander has pitched to a 9.18 ERA in his first four starts of the season and his command has been on of the issues. Darvish has a walk rate of 11.3% issuing multiple free passes in three of those four starts. Meanwhile, the Mets are one of the more patient lineups in baseball with the sixth-highest walk rate against right-handed pitching.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 9th-best batter in MLB.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. The #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest average fence height in MLB.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

When assessing his home run talent, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest average fence height in MLB.. In comparison to his 88.7-mph average last year, Francisco Alvarez's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 92.4 mph.. In the past two weeks, Francisco Alvarez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.3-mph over the course of the season to 98.7-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest average fence height in MLB.. Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as baseball's 13th-best home run batter.. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. The shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest average fence height in MLB.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 6th-best park in the league for left-handed home runs.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest average fence height in MLB.. Francisco Lindor's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, going from 14.8% on the season to 33.3% in the last week.

The #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. The shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest average fence height in MLB.. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of every team today.. Martin Maldonado will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as baseball's 13th-best home run batter.. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. The shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest average fence height in MLB.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Clay Holmes in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent level.. The #5 field in baseball for suppressing base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. The weather report calls for the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Clay Holmes is an extreme groundball pitcher (56.9% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Petco Park — the #8 HR venue in Major League Baseball — in today's game.. Clay Holmes performed well in his last outing and gave up 2 ER.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 6th-best park in the league for left-handed home runs.. The shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest average fence height in MLB.. Batting from the opposite that Yu Darvish throws from, Brett Baty will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Brett Baty has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 102-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 96.3-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Mark Vientos is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest average fence height in MLB.. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.