Colorado @ Cleveland picks
Progressive Field
COL vs CLE Picks
MLB Picks
Outs Recorded


Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
Not often I’m backing Rockies pitchers for 18 outs but today is the day.
Kyle Freeland on the road is a different pitcher away from Coors. He owns a respectable 4.68 ERA away from Coors and has gone Over this number in seven of his 10 road starts and in six of his last eight total starts. Freeland is also one the most efficient pitchers in baseball averaging just 3.54 pitches per batter faced which is the lowest mark in all of baseball. The Guardians' offense has inflated its numbers in this series facing some of the Rockies’ worst pitchers while the 9-mph wind blowing in should help the lefty keep the ball in the park.
Total RBIs

Jordan Beck o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Jordan Beck is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.. The #3 venue in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Kolby Allard throws from, Jordan Beck will have the upper hand today.
Total RBIs

Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his home run ability, Hunter Goodman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The #3 venue in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Hunter Goodman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kolby Allard in today's game.
Total RBIs

Brenton Doyle o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. The #3 venue in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Brenton Doyle will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kolby Allard in today's matchup.. Brenton Doyle has big-time power (76th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (28.2% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Kolby Allard has a pitch-to-contact profile (16th percentile K%) — great news for Doyle.
Total RBIs

Ezequiel Tovar o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The #3 venue in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. The 2nd-shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Progressive Field.. Batting from the opposite that Kolby Allard throws from, Ezequiel Tovar will have an advantage today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Hunter Goodman o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his home run ability, Hunter Goodman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The #3 venue in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Hunter Goodman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kolby Allard in today's game.
Total Bases

Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his home run ability, Hunter Goodman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The #3 venue in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Hunter Goodman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kolby Allard in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 8th-best ballpark in the league for run-scoring.. Batting from the opposite that Kolby Allard throws from, Ezequiel Tovar will have an advantage today.. Ezequiel Tovar has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 10.1% seasonal rate to 20% over the last 7 days.
Total Bases

Jordan Beck u1.5 Total Bases (-170)
Projection 0.9 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Progressive Field has the 4th-highest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for mound aces.. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense projects as the best out of all the teams in action today.. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jordan Beck today.. Jordan Beck's average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 87.8-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 84.3-mph over the past two weeks.
Total Bases

Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The #3 venue in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. The 2nd-shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Progressive Field.. Batting from the opposite that Kolby Allard throws from, Ezequiel Tovar will have an advantage today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Brenton Doyle o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+110)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. The #3 venue in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Brenton Doyle will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kolby Allard in today's matchup.. Brenton Doyle has big-time power (76th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (28.2% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Kolby Allard has a pitch-to-contact profile (16th percentile K%) — great news for Doyle.