Colorado @ Cleveland Picks & Props

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for mound aces. Jose Ramirez has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 7.9% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past week. Jose Ramirez's exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 91-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 82.4-mph in the last 7 days. In terms of his batting average, Jose Ramirez has had positive variance on his side this year. His .296 BA has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .268.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for mound aces. In the last week's worth of games, Angel Martinez's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.9%. By putting up a .281 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Angel Martinez has performed in the 12th percentile for offensive skills. By putting up a .294 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Angel Martinez finds himself in the 24th percentile. Angel Martinez has exhibited weak plate discipline this year, checking in at the 5th percentile with a 5.43 K/BB rate.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for mound aces. Kyle Freeland will hold the platoon advantage over Steven Kwan in today's game. Steven Kwan has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.1-mph dropping to 83.9-mph over the last 7 days. Steven Kwan has been lucky this year, notching a .332 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .307 — a .025 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. The #3 venue in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. The 2nd-shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Tyler Freeman is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. The #3 venue in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Tyler Freeman will have the handedness advantage against Kolby Allard in today's matchup.

The #3 venue in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Thairo Estrada will hold the platoon advantage over Kolby Allard today. Thairo Estrada pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.8% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today. Thairo Estrada's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, going from 12.4% on the season to 30% over the past week.

Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The #3 venue in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Hunter Goodman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kolby Allard in today's game. This season, Hunter Goodman has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.8 mph compared to last year's 92.7 mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The #3 venue in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Brenton Doyle will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kolby Allard in today's matchup. Brenton Doyle has been unlucky this year, putting up a .262 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .304 — a .042 discrepancy.

The #3 venue in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Orlando Arcia will have the handedness advantage against Kolby Allard in today's game. Orlando Arcia pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today. Despite posting a .208 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Orlando Arcia has had bad variance on his side given the .066 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .274.

Gabriel Arias's BABIP talent is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #3 venue in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Gabriel Arias will have an edge in today's matchup. Gabriel Arias has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Jordan Beck is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. The #3 venue in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Kolby Allard throws from, Jordan Beck will have the upper hand today.

The #3 venue in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. The 2nd-shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Brayan Rocchio will hold that advantage today. Brayan Rocchio has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 87.4-mph average to last season's 84.5-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 3rd-best venue in the majors for lefty base hits. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Nolan Jones is assured to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen all game considering none of the available options for the Colorado Rockies share his handedness. Nolan Jones has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

The #3 venue in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. The 2nd-shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Austin Nola will have the handedness advantage over Kolby Allard in today's matchup.

Carlos Santana is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The #3 venue in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Carlos Santana will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Kyle Freeland today. Carlos Santana pulls many of his flyballs (40.2% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Warming Bernabel has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (75% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The #3 venue in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. The 2nd-shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Warming Bernabel will hold the platoon advantage against Kolby Allard today.

Johnathan Rodriguez's BABIP skill is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #3 venue in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. The 2nd-shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Johnathan Rodriguez will have an edge today.

David Fry is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #3 venue in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. David Fry will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Freeland today. David Fry pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

The #3 venue in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Austin Hedges will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Freeland today. Austin Hedges pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Austin Hedges will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The #3 venue in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. The 2nd-shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Kyle Farmer will hold the platoon advantage against Kolby Allard in today's game. As it relates to his batting average, Kyle Farmer has suffered from bad luck this year. His .216 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .232.

Daniel Schneemann has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.