Chicago @ Milwaukee picks
American Family Field
CHC vs MIL Picks
MLB Picks
Hits, Runs, and RBIs


Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Kyle Tucker is beginning to kick a skid at the dish. While he’s hit the Over in this market in consecutive games, the four-time All-Star is still rolling along a 6-for-32 stretch with five runs and three RBI across his past 10 contests. Considering Tucker sports a high-end .385 wOBA, .226 ISO and .907 OPS against righties this season, I’m anticipating him going Over the number in this market again tonight.
Strikeouts Thrown

Quinn Priester u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+110)
Projection 4.4 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Quinn Priester to throw 85 pitches in this game (6th-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Given that groundball pitchers are hit hardest by flyball hitters, Quinn Priester (52.9% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 FB hitters in Chicago's projected lineup.. Given the 0.33 gap between Quinn Priester's 7.61 K/9 and his 7.28 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in MLB this year in terms of strikeouts and ought to see negative regression going forward.
Total RBIs

Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Seiya Suzuki projects as the 17th-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. Among all major league parks, American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Seiya Suzuki hits many of his flyballs to center field (41.7% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences today.
Total RBIs

William Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive skill, William Contreras ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. William Contreras is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. William Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Dansby Swanson o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Among all major league parks, American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Dansby Swanson hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Kyle Tucker o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Kyle Tucker projects as the 8th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Among all major league parks, American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Kyle Tucker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Quinn Priester in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Andrew Vaughn o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. In the league, American Family Field's centerfield fences are the 7th-shallowest.. Among all major league parks, American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Andrew Vaughn will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Jackson Chourio o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. Among all major league parks, American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences today.
Total RBIs

Ian Happ o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Ian Happ is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.. In the league, American Family Field's centerfield fences are the 7th-shallowest.. Among all major league parks, American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Ian Happ will get to bat from his strong side against Quinn Priester in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Christian Yelich o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich as the 13th-best hitter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Christian Yelich is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. In the league, American Family Field's centerfield fences are the 7th-shallowest.. Among all major league parks, American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Christian Yelich will have the upper hand today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Reese McGuire o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-149)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Among all major league parks, American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Batting from the opposite that Quinn Priester throws from, Reese McGuire will have an advantage today.