Washington @ Houston Picks & Props

WAS vs HOU Picks

MLB Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Jason Alexander logo Jason Alexander u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+100)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

The Houston right-hander is lucky to get another start and if it weren't for a handful of injuries to the Astros’ rotation, Jason Alexander would be in Triple-A. He’s been pummeled for 16 runs over his last 17 innings. The lack of strikeout production is also very evident. Fourteen punchouts over his 21 innings is not a rate I want anything to do with the Over. In his two starts where he had 95+ pitches, he got four and three Ks respectively and both games came vs. one of the best K% matchups in the Athletics. THE BAT does like the Over, so the best price might be available closer to first pitch. He could go six innings and hit this, or he could have a shorter leash as a fringe rostered player. 

1st 5 Innings MoneyLine
Washington Nationals logo WAS 1st 5 Innings (+100)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

The Astros are giving the ball to Jason Alexander who isn't an MLB-caliber starter. The 32-year-old has spend most of his career in the minors and was shelled for 11 hits and five runs in six innings in his last start. Houston's injury-riddled lineup has also been ice-cold, averaging just 1.6 runs per game over their last five contests. Washington is starting Michael Soroka who is in the top 25th percentile in xERA (3.26) and xBA (.217). I like the Nats as underdogs but I am wary of their terrible bullpen so let's take that out of the equation. If your book has the F5 Alternate RL of Nationals -0.5 at +130 or better bet that, otherwise the first half ML is also good. 

Total RBIs
James Wood logo
James Wood o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best batter in the league when estimating his BABIP talent.. James Wood is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Hitting from the opposite that Jason Alexander throws from, James Wood will have an edge in today's matchup.. James Wood has strong power (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (28% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jason Alexander has a pitch-to-contact profile (18th percentile K%) — great news for Wood.. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
James Wood logo
James Wood o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-115)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best batter in the league when estimating his BABIP talent.. James Wood is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Hitting from the opposite that Jason Alexander throws from, James Wood will have an edge in today's matchup.. James Wood has strong power (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (28% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jason Alexander has a pitch-to-contact profile (18th percentile K%) — great news for Wood.. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Outs Recorded
Jason Alexander logo
Jason Alexander o15.5 Outs Recorded (+130)
Projection 16.1 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Minute Maid Park projects as the #22 field in baseball for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league parks, the 3rd-tallest fences are at Minute Maid Park.. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -13° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching.. Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Jason Alexander will hold that advantage in today's game.. In his last GS, Jason Alexander was on point and allowed 2 ER.
Outs Recorded
Michael Soroka logo
Michael Soroka u17.5 Outs Recorded (-120)
Projection 16 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Riley Adams, the Nationals's expected catcher in today's matchup, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The shallowest left field fences in the league are found in Minute Maid Park.. Mike Soroka will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.. Mike Soroka's high usage percentage of his fastball (54.6% this year) is likely hurting his results, consider they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
Total Bases
James Wood logo
James Wood u1.5 Total Bases (-170)
Projection 1 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Minute Maid Park projects as the #23 venue in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league parks, the 3rd-tallest fences are at Minute Maid Park.. Minute Maid Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -13° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching.. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for James Wood in today's matchup.
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WAS vs HOU Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

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Consensus Picks

WAS vs HOU Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

James Wood Total Hits Props • Washington

James Wood
J. Wood
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best batter in the league when estimating his BABIP talent. James Wood is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that Jason Alexander throws from, James Wood will have an edge in today's matchup. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

James Wood logo

James Wood

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best batter in the league when estimating his BABIP talent. James Wood is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that Jason Alexander throws from, James Wood will have an edge in today's matchup. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

CJ Abrams
C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. Batting from the opposite that Jason Alexander throws from, CJ Abrams will have the upper hand today.

CJ Abrams logo

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. Batting from the opposite that Jason Alexander throws from, CJ Abrams will have the upper hand today.

Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington

Jacob Young
J. Young
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Jacob Young's BABIP talent is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jacob Young logo

Jacob Young

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jacob Young's BABIP talent is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Washington

Josh Bell
J. Bell
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Josh Bell will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Jason Alexander in today's game. Josh Bell has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Josh Bell logo

Josh Bell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Josh Bell will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Jason Alexander in today's game. Josh Bell has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Brady House Total Hits Props • Washington

Brady House
B. House
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The shallowest left field fences in the league are found in Minute Maid Park.

Brady House logo

Brady House

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The shallowest left field fences in the league are found in Minute Maid Park.

Daylen Lile Total Hits Props • Washington

Daylen Lile
D. Lile
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Minute Maid Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for long-balls. Hitting from the opposite that Jason Alexander throws from, Daylen Lile will have an edge in today's game.

Daylen Lile logo

Daylen Lile

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Minute Maid Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for long-balls. Hitting from the opposite that Jason Alexander throws from, Daylen Lile will have an edge in today's game.

Nathaniel Lowe Total Hits Props • Washington

Nathaniel Lowe
N. Lowe
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Jason Alexander throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have an advantage in today's game. Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Nathaniel Lowe logo

Nathaniel Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Jason Alexander throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have an advantage in today's game. Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Victor Caratini Total Hits Props • Houston

Victor Caratini
V. Caratini
catcher C • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Victor Caratini has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (51% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Victor Caratini will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Victor Caratini logo

Victor Caratini

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Victor Caratini has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (51% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Victor Caratini will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Yainer Diaz Total Hits Props • Houston

Yainer Diaz
Y. Diaz
catcher C • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Yainer Diaz will hold that advantage in today's game.

Yainer Diaz logo

Yainer Diaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Yainer Diaz will hold that advantage in today's game.

Taylor Trammell Total Hits Props • Houston

Taylor Trammell
T. Trammell
left outfield LF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Taylor Trammell has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (69% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Minute Maid Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for long-balls. Taylor Trammell will have the handedness advantage against Mike Soroka in today's game. Taylor Trammell will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Taylor Trammell logo

Taylor Trammell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Taylor Trammell has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (69% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Minute Maid Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for long-balls. Taylor Trammell will have the handedness advantage against Mike Soroka in today's game. Taylor Trammell will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Zack Short Total Hits Props • Houston

Zack Short
Z. Short
third base 3B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Zack Short will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Zack Short logo

Zack Short

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.5

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Zack Short will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jose Altuve Total Hits Props • Houston

Jose Altuve
J. Altuve
left outfield LF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Jose Altuve's batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jose Altuve is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Jose Altuve pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.8% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jose Altuve will hold that advantage today.

Jose Altuve logo

Jose Altuve

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jose Altuve's batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jose Altuve is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Jose Altuve pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.8% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jose Altuve will hold that advantage today.

Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Houston

Christian Walker
C. Walker
first base 1B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Christian Walker is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Christian Walker pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Christian Walker will hold that advantage today.

Christian Walker logo

Christian Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Christian Walker is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Christian Walker pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Christian Walker will hold that advantage today.

Mauricio Dubon Total Hits Props • Houston

Mauricio Dubon
M. Dubon
second base 2B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Mauricio Dubon will hold that advantage today.

Mauricio Dubon logo

Mauricio Dubon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Mauricio Dubon will hold that advantage today.

Jacob Melton Total Hits Props • Houston

Jacob Melton
J. Melton
left outfield LF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Jacob Melton has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (90% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Minute Maid Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for long-balls. Batting from the opposite that Mike Soroka throws from, Jacob Melton will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jacob Melton will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Jacob Melton logo

Jacob Melton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Jacob Melton has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (90% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Minute Maid Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for long-balls. Batting from the opposite that Mike Soroka throws from, Jacob Melton will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jacob Melton will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Brice Matthews Total Hits Props • Houston

Brice Matthews
B. Matthews
shortstop SS • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The shallowest left field fences in the league are found in Minute Maid Park. Brice Matthews will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Brice Matthews logo

Brice Matthews

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The shallowest left field fences in the league are found in Minute Maid Park. Brice Matthews will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Shay Whitcomb Total Hits Props • Houston

Shay Whitcomb
S. Whitcomb
second base 2B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Shay Whitcomb pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Shay Whitcomb will hold that advantage today.

Shay Whitcomb logo

Shay Whitcomb

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Shay Whitcomb pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Shay Whitcomb will hold that advantage today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

WAS vs HOU Top User Picks

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Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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Washington Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Eldominicano33 7-3-0 +20570
2 uradonkey 6-4-0 +18804
3 ThorsHammer 7-3-0 +16400
4 sleeper2239 5-5-0 +15480
5 53Defense 5-5-0 +13840
6 purple_stars 3-7-0 +12385
7 bluorch158 4-6-0 +12035
8 marlis 4-6-0 +10605
9 albertobs 7-3-0 +10440
10 dogeatdog 7-3-0 +10089
All Nationals Money Leaders

Houston Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 uradonkey 5-5-0 +25682
2 MLBFan8848 6-4-0 +19240
3 vlkvlk2012 5-5-0 +19170
4 Enelra18 7-3-0 +18580
5 sleeper2239 6-4-0 +17535
6 swtknguy 6-4-0 +17160
7 Midway28 6-4-0 +16230
8 DarthRaider27 4-6-0 +16035
9 ewatson15 7-3-0 +15815
10 mdterrrps 7-3-0 +13795
All Astros Money Leaders
Top User Picks

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