LIVE Bottom 7th Aug 30
MIL 1 +121 o8.5
TOR 1 -131 u8.5
LIVE Bottom 3rd Aug 30
TB 3 -149 o8.5
WAS 0 +137 u8.5
LIVE Top 3rd Aug 30
PIT 1 +169 o9.0
BOS 0 -185 u9.0
LIVE Bottom 2nd Aug 30
MIA 5 +158 o7.5
NYM 2 -173 u7.5
ATL +125 o7.0
PHI -135 u7.0
STL +129 o8.0
CIN -140 u8.0
LAA +144 o9.5
HOU -156 u9.5
SD -147 o8.5
MIN +135 u8.5
NYY -195 o8.5
CHW +178 u8.5
SEA -150 o7.5
CLE +138 u7.5
DET -120 o9.0
KC +111 u9.0
BAL -115 o8.0
SF +106 u8.0
CHC -197 o11.0
COL +179 u11.0
AZ +195 o9.0
LAD -216 u9.0
TEX -128 o10.5
ATH +118 u10.5

Philadelphia @ Chicago props

Rate Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Edmundo Sosa Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Edmundo Sosa
E. Sosa
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for long-balls. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Edmundo Sosa has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 87.5-mph mark. Grading out in the 87th percentile, Edmundo Sosa has notched a .322 BABIP since the start of last season.

Edmundo Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for long-balls. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Edmundo Sosa has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 87.5-mph mark. Grading out in the 87th percentile, Edmundo Sosa has notched a .322 BABIP since the start of last season.

Miguel Vargas Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Miguel Vargas
M. Vargas
third base 3B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Miguel Vargas will have an edge today. Miguel Vargas pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Miguel Vargas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Miguel Vargas will have an edge today. Miguel Vargas pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Edgar Quero Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Edgar Quero
E. Quero
catcher C • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edgar Quero in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Edgar Quero is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The switch-hitting Edgar Quero will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Cristopher Sanchez. Edgar Quero has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Edgar Quero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edgar Quero in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Edgar Quero is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The switch-hitting Edgar Quero will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Cristopher Sanchez. Edgar Quero has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Andrew Benintendi Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Andrew Benintendi
A. Benintendi
left outfield LF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Andrew Benintendi's batting average ability is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andrew Benintendi is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for long-balls. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

Andrew Benintendi

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Andrew Benintendi's batting average ability is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andrew Benintendi is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for long-balls. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Bryson Stott
B. Stott
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Davis Martin throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge in today's game. Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Bryson Stott has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.3-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 87.4-mph mark.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Davis Martin throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge in today's game. Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Bryson Stott has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.3-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 87.4-mph mark.

J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J.T. Realmuto
J. Realmuto
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. J.T. Realmuto has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. J.T. Realmuto has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 8.7% seasonal rate to 22.7% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

J.T. Realmuto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. J.T. Realmuto has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. J.T. Realmuto has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 8.7% seasonal rate to 22.7% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Colson Montgomery Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Colson Montgomery
C. Montgomery
shortstop SS • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for long-balls. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Colson Montgomery will hold that advantage in today's game. Colson Montgomery has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 9.5% seasonal rate to 19% over the last 14 days.

Colson Montgomery

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for long-balls. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Colson Montgomery will hold that advantage in today's game. Colson Montgomery has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 9.5% seasonal rate to 19% over the last 14 days.

Mike Tauchman Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Mike Tauchman
M. Tauchman
right outfield RF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Mike Tauchman is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Mike Tauchman has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Mike Tauchman will hold that advantage today.

Mike Tauchman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Mike Tauchman is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Mike Tauchman has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Mike Tauchman will hold that advantage today.

Lenyn Sosa Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Lenyn Sosa
L. Sosa
second base 2B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Lenyn Sosa will have an advantage in today's matchup. Lenyn Sosa has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Lenyn Sosa will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Lenyn Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Lenyn Sosa will have an advantage in today's matchup. Lenyn Sosa has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Lenyn Sosa will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Otto Kemp Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Otto Kemp
O. Kemp
first base 1B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Kemp in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for long-balls. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.

Otto Kemp

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Kemp in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for long-balls. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.

Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Nick Castellanos
N. Castellanos
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Davis Martin will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Castellanos in today's game. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nick Castellanos in today's game. Nick Castellanos's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 91-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 82.2-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. As it relates to plate discipline, Nick Castellanos's talent is quite weak, sporting a 4.09 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 17th percentile.

Nick Castellanos

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Davis Martin will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Castellanos in today's game. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nick Castellanos in today's game. Nick Castellanos's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 91-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 82.2-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. As it relates to plate discipline, Nick Castellanos's talent is quite weak, sporting a 4.09 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 17th percentile.

Luis Robert Jr. Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Luis Robert Jr.
L. Robert Jr.
center outfield CF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Luis Robert Jr.'s BABIP ability is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for long-balls. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Luis Robert Jr. will have an edge in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

Luis Robert Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Luis Robert Jr.'s BABIP ability is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for long-balls. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Luis Robert Jr. will have an edge in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Brandon Marsh
B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When assessing his BABIP talent, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Davis Martin throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an advantage in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.327) suggests that Brandon Marsh has experienced some negative variance this year with his .299 actual wOBA.

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his BABIP talent, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Davis Martin throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an advantage in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.327) suggests that Brandon Marsh has experienced some negative variance this year with his .299 actual wOBA.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Bryce Harper
B. Harper
first base 1B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best batter in the league. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Davis Martin throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Bryce Harper has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.

Bryce Harper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best batter in the league. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Davis Martin throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Bryce Harper has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.

Chase Meidroth Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Chase Meidroth
C. Meidroth
shortstop SS • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase Meidroth in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Chase Meidroth is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Chase Meidroth will have an edge in today's matchup. Chase Meidroth has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

Chase Meidroth

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase Meidroth in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Chase Meidroth is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Chase Meidroth will have an edge in today's matchup. Chase Meidroth has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Kyle Schwarber
K. Schwarber
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 15th-best hitter in the game. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage over Davis Martin in today's matchup. Kyle Schwarber pulls many of his flyballs (40% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 15th-best hitter in the game. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage over Davis Martin in today's matchup. Kyle Schwarber pulls many of his flyballs (40% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Max Kepler
M. Kepler
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Max Kepler will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Davis Martin today. Max Kepler pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Max Kepler's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 13.8% to 17.6%. Max Kepler has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .205 rate is considerably lower than his .241 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Max Kepler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Max Kepler will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Davis Martin today. Max Kepler pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Max Kepler's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 13.8% to 17.6%. Max Kepler has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .205 rate is considerably lower than his .241 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Austin Slater Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Austin Slater
A. Slater
left outfield LF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Slater as the 10th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP ability. Austin Slater is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Austin Slater will have an edge in today's matchup. Austin Slater has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Austin Slater

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Slater as the 10th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP ability. Austin Slater is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Austin Slater will have an edge in today's matchup. Austin Slater has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Trea Turner
T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.4
Best Odds

Hitting from the same side that Davis Martin throws from, Trea Turner will not have the upper hand in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Trea Turner today. Compared to his seasonal angle of 10.5°, Trea Turner has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.8°) over the last two weeks.

Trea Turner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.4
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.4

Hitting from the same side that Davis Martin throws from, Trea Turner will not have the upper hand in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Trea Turner today. Compared to his seasonal angle of 10.5°, Trea Turner has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.8°) over the last two weeks.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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// Scripts for MLB A/B test